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Super League
AEK
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Aris
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Super League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 45%
50%
40%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
60%
50%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,6
Conceded
1,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 4
6 Corners 2
18 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match AEK 5. · Aris 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 12 9 3 0 +16 30
2 PAOK 12 8 4 0 +11 28
3 Larisa 12 5 3 4 +1 18
4 OFI Crete 12 5 2 5 +6 17
5 AEK 10 5 2 3 +2 17
6 Xanthi 12 5 1 6 -3 16
7 Volos NFC 12 5 1 6 -7 16
8 Aris 10 4 3 3 +5 15
9 Aris Thessalonikis 10 4 3 3 +5 15
10 Atromitos 11 4 2 5 +2 14
11 Lamia 11 3 4 4 -5 13
12 Panathinaikos 11 3 3 5 -9 12
13 Asteras Tripolis 12 3 2 7 -3 11
14 Panionios 12 2 4 6 -9 10
15 Panetolikos 11 0 3 8 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
U ✓
3,78
B
6,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,02
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.