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Super League

Referee: M Di Bello

PAOK

T U S S S

0–2

Full-time

AEK

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,2

This season — Super League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 58%

64%

52%

Points per game

2,1

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

52%

45%

Both score Ø 48%

48%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

5 Shots 7

1 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

23 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 2. · AEK 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	33	27	6	0	+56	87
2	PAOK	33	21	7	5	+30	70
3	AEK	33	17	10	6	+22	61
4	Panathinaikos	34	14	12	8	+9	54
5	Atromitos	32	11	8	13	-2	41
6	OFI Crete	33	11	6	16	-6	39
7	Aris Thessalonikis	31	9	11	11	+2	38
8	Aris	31	9	11	11	+2	38
9	Asteras Tripolis	32	9	10	13	-4	37
10	Larisa	32	9	10	13	-9	37
11	Lamia	32	6	16	10	-13	34
12	Xanthi	32	9	7	16	-14	34
13	Volos NFC	32	9	7	16	-24	34
14	Panionios	32	7	7	18	-28	28
15	Panetolikos	32	5	10	17	-21	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	17	16	1	0	+36	49
2	PAOK	16	11	3	2	+20	36
3	AEK	18	9	7	2	+17	34
4	Panathinaikos	17	10	4	3	+17	34
5	OFI Crete	16	9	3	4	+13	30
6	Aris Thessalonikis	15	8	2	5	+12	26
7	Aris	15	8	2	5	+12	26
8	Asteras Tripolis	16	6	7	3	+7	25
9	Volos NFC	16	7	4	5	-1	25
10	Atromitos	16	6	6	4	+8	24
11	Larisa	16	6	4	6	+3	22
12	Panetolikos	16	5	6	5	+1	21
13	Xanthi	16	5	6	5	+1	21
14	Lamia	16	4	9	3	-1	21
15	Panionios	16	5	5	6	+0	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	11	5	0	+20	38
2	PAOK	17	10	4	3	+10	34
3	AEK	15	8	3	4	+5	27
4	Panathinaikos	17	4	8	5	-8	20
5	Atromitos	16	5	2	9	-10	17
6	Larisa	16	3	6	7	-12	15
7	Lamia	16	2	7	7	-12	13
8	Xanthi	16	4	1	11	-15	13
9	Aris Thessalonikis	16	1	9	6	-10	12
10	Aris	16	1	9	6	-10	12
11	Asteras Tripolis	16	3	3	10	-11	12
12	OFI Crete	17	2	3	12	-19	9
13	Volos NFC	16	2	3	11	-23	9
14	Panionios	16	2	2	12	-28	8
15	Panetolikos	16	0	4	12	-22	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.