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Super League

Referee: N Dabanović

PAOK

S T U U T

3–1

Full-time

AEK

S U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK AEK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

This season — Super League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 50%

46%

54%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

61%

43%

Both score Ø 52%

57%

46%

Average goals

2,9

2,6

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%

10 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 9

0 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PAOK 6. · AEK 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	30	24	5	1	+54	77
2	Aris Thessalonikis	27	15	6	6	+17	51
3	Aris	27	15	6	6	+17	51
4	AEK	28	15	6	7	+11	51
5	Panathinaikos	29	14	7	8	+11	49
6	PAOK	28	13	9	6	+22	48
7	Asteras Tripolis	29	12	10	7	+2	46
8	Giannina	29	9	9	11	-2	36
9	Volos NFC	29	8	10	11	-9	34
10	Atromitos	29	6	11	12	-15	29
11	Lamia	29	7	8	14	-21	29
12	Apollon	29	8	4	17	-13	28
13	Panetolikos	29	4	9	16	-23	21
14	OFI Crete	29	5	5	19	-25	20
15	Larisa	29	4	7	18	-26	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	14	2	0	+34	44
2	PAOK	14	8	6	0	+19	30
3	Asteras Tripolis	15	8	4	3	+4	28
4	Aris Thessalonikis	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Aris	13	8	2	3	+9	26
6	Panathinaikos	14	7	4	3	+7	25
7	AEK	14	6	4	4	+4	22
8	Atromitos	14	4	6	4	-1	18
9	Giannina	15	4	5	6	-3	17
10	Volos NFC	15	4	5	6	-4	17
11	Lamia	14	4	4	6	-7	16
12	Panetolikos	15	4	3	8	-8	15
13	Apollon	15	4	1	10	-9	13
14	OFI Crete	14	2	3	9	-15	9
15	Larisa	14	1	5	8	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	14	10	3	1	+20	33
2	AEK	14	9	2	3	+7	29
3	Aris Thessalonikis	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Aris	14	7	4	3	+8	25
5	Panathinaikos	15	7	3	5	+4	24
6	Giannina	14	5	4	5	+1	19
7	PAOK	14	5	3	6	+3	18
8	Asteras Tripolis	14	4	6	4	-2	18
9	Volos NFC	14	4	5	5	-5	17
10	Apollon	14	4	3	7	-4	15
11	Lamia	15	3	4	8	-14	13
12	OFI Crete	15	3	2	10	-10	11
13	Larisa	15	3	2	10	-12	11
14	Atromitos	15	2	5	8	-14	11
15	Panetolikos	14	0	6	8	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.