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Super League

Referee: D Higler

AEK

T T S S S

1–1

Full-time

Panathinaikos

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

3,8

3,3

Scored

1,8

1,7

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,0

This season — Super League · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 50%

55%

45%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

52%

36%

Both score Ø 49%

55%

42%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%

9 Shots 2

5 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

11 Corners 2

1 Offside 7

15 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 3. · Panathinaikos 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	34	27	5	2	+59	86
2	PAOK	34	17	10	7	+25	61
3	AEK	33	18	6	9	+11	60
4	Aris Thessalonikis	31	17	6	8	+17	57
5	Aris	31	17	6	8	+17	57
6	Panathinaikos	33	15	7	11	+10	52
7	Asteras Tripolis	34	12	11	11	-5	47
8	Volos NFC	32	9	12	11	-7	39
9	Giannina	32	9	10	13	-4	37
10	Lamia	32	8	10	14	-20	34
11	Atromitos	32	6	13	13	-16	31
12	Apollon	32	8	6	18	-14	30
13	OFI Crete	32	6	7	19	-24	25
14	Panetolikos	32	5	10	17	-24	25
15	Larisa	32	5	9	18	-25	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	18	16	2	0	+37	50
2	PAOK	16	10	6	0	+23	36
3	Aris Thessalonikis	16	9	2	5	+8	29
4	Aris	16	9	2	5	+8	29
5	Asteras Tripolis	16	8	5	3	+4	29
6	Panathinaikos	17	8	4	5	+8	28
7	AEK	16	7	4	5	+2	25
8	Volos NFC	17	5	6	6	-2	21
9	Atromitos	16	4	7	5	-2	19
10	Panetolikos	16	5	3	8	-7	18
11	Lamia	16	4	6	6	-7	18
12	Giannina	16	4	5	7	-4	17
13	Apollon	16	4	2	10	-9	14
14	OFI Crete	16	3	4	9	-14	13
15	Larisa	15	1	6	8	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	11	3	2	+22	36
2	AEK	17	11	2	4	+9	35
3	Aris Thessalonikis	15	8	4	3	+9	28
4	Aris	15	8	4	3	+9	28
5	PAOK	18	7	4	7	+2	25
6	Panathinaikos	16	7	3	6	+2	24
7	Giannina	16	5	5	6	+0	20
8	Volos NFC	15	4	6	5	-5	18
9	Asteras Tripolis	18	4	6	8	-9	18
10	Apollon	16	4	4	8	-5	16
11	Lamia	16	4	4	8	-13	16
12	Larisa	17	4	3	10	-11	15
13	OFI Crete	16	3	3	10	-10	12
14	Atromitos	16	2	6	8	-14	12
15	Panetolikos	16	0	7	9	-17	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.