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Super League

Referee: I Peljto

Panathinaikos

S S U U U

2–1

Full-time

PAOK

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Super League · 31/30 matches

Win Ø 53%

45%

60%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

35%

43%

Both score Ø 36%

29%

43%

Average goals

2,2

2,6

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

11 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Panathinaikos 5. · PAOK 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	31	23	6	2	+35	75
2	PAOK	30	18	6	6	+27	60
3	AEK	30	15	5	10	+13	50
4	Giannina	32	13	10	9	+10	49
5	Panathinaikos	31	14	6	11	+21	48
6	Aris Thessalonikis	29	13	8	8	+6	47
7	Aris	29	13	8	8	+6	47
8	OFI Crete	30	10	12	8	+1	42
9	Asteras Tripolis	30	11	6	13	-3	39
10	Volos NFC	30	9	7	14	-8	34
11	Ionikos	30	8	9	13	-7	33
12	Panetolikos	30	9	5	16	-20	32
13	Atromitos	30	7	6	17	-24	27
14	Lamia	30	5	7	18	-19	22
15	Apollon	30	3	9	18	-38	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	16	14	2	0	+22	44
2	Panathinaikos	15	10	3	2	+23	33
3	PAOK	15	9	3	3	+12	30
4	AEK	15	9	1	5	+11	28
5	Giannina	15	8	4	3	+7	28
6	Aris Thessalonikis	15	7	6	2	+5	27
7	Aris	15	7	6	2	+5	27
8	Asteras Tripolis	15	7	2	6	+2	23
9	OFI Crete	15	5	6	4	+0	21
10	Ionikos	15	5	5	5	+1	20
11	Atromitos	15	6	2	7	-3	20
12	Volos NFC	15	5	2	8	-6	17
13	Panetolikos	15	4	3	8	-7	15
14	Apollon	15	2	7	6	-11	13
15	Lamia	15	2	3	10	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	15	9	4	2	+13	31
2	PAOK	15	9	3	3	+15	30
3	AEK	15	6	4	5	+2	22
4	Giannina	17	5	6	6	+3	21
5	OFI Crete	15	5	6	4	+1	21
6	Aris Thessalonikis	14	6	2	6	+1	20
7	Aris	14	6	2	6	+1	20
8	Volos NFC	15	4	5	6	-2	17
9	Panetolikos	15	5	2	8	-13	17
10	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	4	7	-5	16
11	Panathinaikos	16	4	3	9	-2	15
12	Lamia	15	3	4	8	-7	13
13	Ionikos	15	3	4	8	-8	13
14	Atromitos	15	1	4	10	-21	7
15	Apollon	15	1	2	12	-27	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.