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Europa League
Referee: K Tohver
Brighton
S S T S S
2–3
Full-time
AEK
T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brighton AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

2,66 xG 1,28
75% Possession 25%
15 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Brighton AEK
11′
⚽ D. Sidibé 0–1
E. Hajisafi
João Pedro ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
28′
1–1 João Pedro ⚽
30′
40′
⚽ M. Gaćinović 1–2
L. García
Half-time 1–2
Igor Júlio 🟨
47′
47′
🟨 Djibril Sidibé
T. Lamptey 🔁
↦ J. Milner
55′
60′
🔁 M. Mohammadi
↦ E. Hajisafi
João Pedro ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
65′
Pervis Estupiñán 🟨
66′
66′
🟨 Gerasimos Mitoglou
67′
🟨 Damian Szymański
2–2 João Pedro ⚽
67′
68′
🔁 E. Ponce
↦ L. García
68′
🔁 S. Zuber
↦ S. Araújo
69′
🟨 Ezequiel Ponce
72′
🟨 Mijat Gaćinović
Jan Paul van Hecke 🟨
76′
79′
🔁 P. Mantalos
↦ O. Pineda
79′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ M. Gaćinović
D. Welbeck 🔁
↦ João Pedro
82′
84′
⚽ E. Ponce 2–3
S. Adingra 🔁
↦ K. Mitoma
86′
F. Buonanotte 🔁
↦ B. Gilmour
86′
Danny Welbeck 🟨
93′
98′
🟨 Petros Mantalos
100′
🟨 Milad Mohammadi
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Brighton

4-2-3-1
23 J. Steele G
6 J. Milner D
29 J. van Hecke D
3 Igor Julio D
30 P. Estupiñán D
13 P. Groß M
11 B. Gilmour M
7 S. March M
31 Ansu Fati M
22 K. Mitoma M
9 João Pedro F
Bench (12)
2 T. Lamptey
18 D. Welbeck
24 S. Adingra
40 F. Buonanotte
34 J. Veltman
41 J. Hinshelwood
8 Mahmoud Dahoud
4 A. Webster
1 B. Verbruggen
38 T. McGill
20 C. Baleba
14 A. Lallana

Coach: R. De Zerbi

AEK

4-1-4-1
1 C. Stanković G
29 D. Sidibé D
4 D. Szymański D
24 G. Mitoglou D
28 E. Hajisafi D
6 J. Jønsson M
5 N. Amrabat M
13 O. Pineda M
11 S. Araújo M
8 M. Gaćinović M
7 L. García F
Bench (10)
3 M. Mohammadi
14 E. Ponce
10 S. Zuber
20 P. Mantalos
19 N. Eliasson
30 G. Athanasiadis
99 G. Theocharis
12 L. Rota
70 R. Pizarro
25 K. Galanopoulos

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

K Tohver · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.