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Super League
Referee: E Gortsilas
AEK
S S S U T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panserraikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

82% Possession 18%
36 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 4
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 1
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 OFI Crete 3 2 0 1 -1 6
2 Giannina 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 Panathinaikos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 PAOK 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Olympiakos 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Asteras Tripolis 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 Lamia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
8 Panetolikos 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Volos NFC 2 0 1 1 -3 1
10 Aris Thessalonikis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Aris 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Panserraikos 1 0 0 1 -2 0
13 Kifisia 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AEK Panserraikos
Mijat Gaćinović 🟨
-5′
1′
K. Aleksić 0–1
K. Pileas
24′
ℹ️ Ismahila Ouédraogo
VAR: Penalty cancelled
37′
🟨 Nikolaos Gkotzamanidis
Half-time 0–1
O. Pineda 🔁
↦ K. Chrisopoulos
46′
46′
🔁 K. Thymianis
↦ M. Tomás
64′
🟨 Ismahila Ouédraogo
65′
🔁 K. Woolery
↦ K. Aleksić
66′
🔁 P. Tsagkalidis
↦ K. Pileas
66′
🔁 A. Bajrovic
↦ S. Mourgos
67′
🟨 Kaiyne Woolery
S. Araújo 🔁
↦ N. Eliasson
71′
D. Szymański 🔁
↦ K. Galanopoulos
71′
72′
🟨 Adrián Chovan
M. Gaćinović 🔁
↦ D. Sidibé
72′
75′
🟨 Stavros Petavrakis
1–1 M. Gaćinović
D. Szymański
78′
Zini 🔁
↦ P. Mantalos
79′
84′
🔁 V. Stînă
↦ P. Staikos
87′
🟨 Konstantinos Thymianis
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AEK

4-2-3-1
30 G. Athanasiadis G
29 D. Sidibé D
24 G. Mitoglou D
55 K. Chrisopoulos D
3 Milad Mohammadi D
6 J. Jønsson M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
19 N. Eliasson M
20 P. Mantalos M
70 R. Pizarro M
9 T. van Weert F
Bench (9)
13 O. Pineda
11 S. Araújo
4 D. Szymański
8 M. Gaćinović
90 Zini
17 S. Pilios
2 H. Moukoudi
39 P. Ginis
37 V. Radonja

Coach: M. Almeyda

Panserraikos

4-2-3-1
1 A. Chovan G
27 D. Dankerlui D
25 N. Gkotzamanidis D
31 E. Bergström D
3 S. Petavrakis D
26 P. Staikos M
72 I. Ouédraogo M
21 S. Mourgos M
11 M. Tomás M
2 K. Pileas M
14 K. Aleksić F
Bench (9)
8 K. Thymianis
22 K. Woolery
29 P. Tsagkalidis
9 A. Bajrovic
98 V. Stînă
64 P. Deligiannidis
17 A. Maskanakis
5 A. Avlonitis
13 P. Katsikas

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,15
U ✓
7,13
B
17,08
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Gortsilas · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
34,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.