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Super League
Referee: N Dabanović
AEK
T S S S T
0–0
Full-time
Panathinaikos
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
This season — Super League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 75%
75%
75%
Points per game
2,3
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 27%
25%
29%
Average goals
2,5
1,9
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
13 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match AEK 2. · Panathinaikos 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 28 21 4 3 +28 67
2 AEK 28 21 2 5 +42 65
3 PAOK 30 18 10 2 +31 64
4 Olympiakos 29 18 8 3 +42 62
5 Volos NFC 29 12 6 11 -11 42
6 Aris Thessalonikis 27 12 4 11 +13 40
7 Aris 27 12 4 11 +13 40
8 Atromitos 29 8 9 12 -3 33
9 Panetolikos 29 8 8 13 -12 32
10 OFI Crete 29 6 10 13 -14 28
11 Asteras Tripolis 29 5 13 11 -15 28
12 Giannina 29 4 11 14 -25 23
13 Lamia 29 4 11 14 -34 23
14 Ionikos 29 5 6 18 -28 21
15 Levadeiakos 29 3 10 16 -27 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Jan -23 AEK – Panathinaikos 1–0 11. Sep -22 Panathinaikos – AEK 2–1 8. May -22 AEK – Panathinaikos 0–0 13. Mar -22 Panathinaikos – AEK 1–1 27. Feb -22 Panathinaikos – AEK 3–0

Match report

AEK Panathinaikos
Nordin Amrabat 🟨
19′
Sergio Araujo 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
S. Zuber 🔁
↦ N. Amrabat
46′
65′
🔁 L. Kleinheisler
↦ D. Mancini
65′
🔁 Bernard
↦ A. Čerin
P. Mantalos 🔁
↦ J. Jønsson
71′
D. Sidibé 🔁
↦ L. Rota
71′
N. Eliasson 🔁
↦ M. Gaćinović
71′
76′
🟨 Dimitrios Kourbelis
77′
🟨 Rubén Pérez
80′
🔁 B. Verbič
↦ F. Ioannidis
G. Tzavellas 🔁
↦ H. Moukoudi
81′
82′
🟨 Alberto Brignoli
88′
🔁 E. Çokaj
↦ D. Kourbelis
98′
🟥 Enis Çokaj
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

AEK

4-3-1-2
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
24 G. Mitoglou D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
5 N. Amrabat M
4 D. Szymański M
8 M. Gaćinović M
6 J. Jønsson M
13 O. Pineda F
11 S. Araújo F
Bench (9)
10 S. Zuber
20 P. Mantalos
29 D. Sidibé
19 N. Eliasson
31 G. Tzavellas
22 Paolo Fernandes
9 T. van Weert
3 M. Mohammadi
1 C. Stanković

Coach: M. Almeyda

Panathinaikos

4-2-3-1
91 A. Brignoli G
27 G. Kotsiras D
5 B. Schenkeveld D
23 H. Magnússon D
3 Juan Carlos D
4 Rubén Pérez M
21 D. Kourbelis M
34 S. Palacios M
16 A. Čerin M
17 D. Mancini M
7 F. Ioannidis F
Bench (9)
8 L. Kleinheisler
10 Bernard
77 B. Verbič
18 E. Çokaj
6 T. Puchacz
44 A. Poungouras
99 A. Kampetsis
12 Y. Lodygin
2 G. Vagiannidis

Coach: I. Jovanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
🔒
U ✓
3,21
🔒
B
4,58
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,49
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,50
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Dabanović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.