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Super League
Referee: A Diamantopoulos
OFI Crete
T S U U U
2–0
Full-time
AEK
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

OFI Crete AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
This season — Super League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 52%
43%
60%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
60%
Both score Ø 86%
71%
100%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
8 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match OFI Crete 4. · AEK 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 8 7 1 0 +23 22
2 PAOK 8 4 3 1 +8 15
3 Panathinaikos 6 4 1 1 +11 13
4 OFI Crete 7 3 3 1 +0 12
5 Lamia 8 3 3 2 -3 12
6 AEK 5 3 2 0 +3 11
7 Panserraikos 6 2 3 1 +1 9
8 Aris Thessalonikis 7 2 2 3 -1 8
9 Aris 7 2 2 3 -1 8
10 Asteras Tripolis 8 2 2 4 -4 8
11 Kifisia 8 1 4 3 -7 7
12 Giannina 7 1 2 4 -4 5
13 Atromitos 6 0 3 3 -6 3
14 Panetolikos 7 0 3 4 -12 3
15 Volos NFC 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

OFI Crete AEK
1–0 Luiz Phellype ⚽
M. Bakić
5′
Marko Bakić 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
V. Lampropoulos 🔁
↦ T. Pasalidis
55′
61′
🔁 S. Araújo
↦ T. van Weert
61′
🔁 E. Ponce
↦ S. Zuber
61′
🔁 M. Gaćinović
↦ R. Pizarro
63′
🟨 Konstantinos Galanopoulos
N. Dicko 🔁
↦ Luiz Phellype
67′
67′
🔁 O. Pineda
↦ K. Galanopoulos
67′
🔁 Zini
↦ N. Eliasson
L. Abanda 🔁
↦ F. Gallegos
75′
Noam Baumann 🟨
78′
82′
🟨 Mijat Gaćinović
2–0 N. Dicko ⚽
L. Abanda
83′
95′
🟨 Damian Szymański
Vasilis Lampropoulos 🟨
96′
Leroy Abanda 🟨
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

OFI Crete

3-4-1-2
33 N. Baumann G
14 P. Vouros D
4 T. Pasalidis D
16 A. Karo D
2 E. Larsson M
55 D. Glazer M
29 M. Mellado M
22 G. Þórarinsson M
8 F. Gallegos F
28 Luiz Phellype F
88 M. Bakić F
Bench (9)
24 V. Lampropoulos
11 N. Dicko
99 L. Abanda
21 Jon Toral
6 N. Marinakis
10 J. Neira
18 K. Giannoulis
30 H. Mosquera
32 D. Sotiriou

Coach: V. Dambrauskas

AEK

4-2-3-1
1 C. Stanković G
12 L. Rota D
24 G. Mitoglou D
18 A. Callens D
3 Milad Mohammadi D
4 D. Szymański M
25 K. Galanopoulos M
19 N. Eliasson M
10 S. Zuber M
70 R. Pizarro M
9 T. van Weert F
Bench (9)
11 S. Araújo
14 E. Ponce
8 M. Gaćinović
13 O. Pineda
90 Zini
30 G. Athanasiadis
20 P. Mantalos
2 H. Moukoudi
17 S. Pilios

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
6,44
U
4,05
B
1,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Diamantopoulos · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.