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Super League
Referee: A Diamantopoulos
OFI Crete
U S T T S
0–3
Full-time
AEK
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

OFI Crete AEK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
This season — Super League · 26/25 matches
Win Ø 50%
23%
76%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
42%
48%
Both score Ø 33%
42%
24%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,9
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
11 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
4 Offside 8
14 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match OFI Crete 10. · AEK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 26 19 4 3 +24 61
2 AEK 25 19 2 4 +40 59
3 Olympiakos 27 16 8 3 +37 56
4 PAOK 26 14 10 2 +22 52
5 Volos NFC 27 12 6 9 -7 42
6 Aris Thessalonikis 25 11 4 10 +12 37
7 Aris 25 11 4 10 +12 37
8 Panetolikos 26 8 7 11 -9 31
9 Atromitos 26 7 9 10 -2 30
10 OFI Crete 26 6 9 11 -9 27
11 Asteras Tripolis 27 4 13 10 -15 25
12 Giannina 26 4 11 11 -19 23
13 Lamia 27 3 10 14 -36 19
14 Ionikos 26 4 6 16 -21 18
15 Levadeiakos 27 2 9 16 -29 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

OFI Crete AEK
34′
🟨 Domagoj Vida
Marko Bakić 🟨
35′
43′
T. Pasalidis 1–0
own goal
Half-time 1–1
49′
N. Amrabat 1–1
Eric Larsson 🟨
52′
62′
M. Gaćinović 1–2
P. Mantalos
T. Bifouma 🔁
↦ K. Balogiannis
67′
H. Mosquera 🔁
↦ Jon Toral
67′
Nouha Dicko 🟨
71′
S. Grønning 🔁
↦ N. Dicko
74′
76′
🟨 Nordin Amrabat
76′
🔁 A. Fransson
↦ O. Pineda
78′
🔁 N. Eliasson
↦ N. Amrabat
82′
🔁 D. Sidibé
↦ P. Mantalos
82′
🔁 T. van Weert
↦ S. Zuber
N. Marinakis 🔁
↦ E. Larsson
88′
K. Tsilianidis 🔁
↦ M. Bakić
88′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

OFI Crete

3-4-1-2
35 C. Mandas G
15 A. Diamantis D
4 T. Pasalidis D
22 G. Þórarinsson D
2 E. Larsson M
29 M. Mellado M
5 A. Dioussé M
38 K. Balogiannis M
88 M. Bakić F
11 N. Dicko F
21 Jon Toral F
Bench (9)
77 T. Bifouma
30 H. Mosquera
9 S. Grønning
6 N. Marinakis
19 K. Tsilianidis
7 Mesaque Dju
18 K. Giannoulis
31 N. Christogeorgos
20 S. Yohou

Coach: V. Dambrauskas

AEK

4-3-3
30 G. Athanasiadis G
12 L. Rota D
21 D. Vida D
2 H. Moukoudi D
28 E. Hajisafi D
20 P. Mantalos M
6 J. Jønsson M
13 O. Pineda M
5 N. Amrabat F
10 S. Zuber F
8 M. Gaćinović F
Bench (9)
14 A. Fransson
19 N. Eliasson
29 D. Sidibé
9 T. van Weert
35 M. Kosidis
37 V. Radonja
31 G. Tzavellas
24 G. Mitoglou
1 C. Stanković

Coach: M. Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,72
U
4,45
B ✓
1,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,96
U2,5
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Diamantopoulos · 73 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.