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Super League

Referee: V Fotias

Panathinaikos

U U S S T

5–0

Full-time

Panserraikos

U S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Panserraikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

88%

25%

Both score Ø 44%

38%

50%

Average goals

3,6

2,9

Scored

3,0

1,4

Conceded

0,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Panathinaikos 2. · Panserraikos 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	9	7	1	1	+20	22
2	Panathinaikos	8	6	1	1	+19	19
3	PAOK	9	5	3	1	+10	18
4	Lamia	10	5	3	2	-1	18
5	AEK	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	OFI Crete	9	4	4	1	+2	16
7	Aris Thessalonikis	8	3	2	3	+0	11
8	Aris	8	3	2	3	+0	11
9	Panserraikos	8	2	3	3	-1	9
10	Asteras Tripolis	10	2	2	6	-8	8
11	Kifisia	10	1	5	4	-8	8
12	Atromitos	9	1	3	5	-12	6
13	Panetolikos	10	1	3	6	-14	6
14	Giannina	8	1	2	5	-5	5
15	Volos NFC	8	1	2	5	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	7	6	0	1	+17	18
2	PAOK	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	OFI Crete	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Lamia	5	4	1	0	+4	13
5	Aris Thessalonikis	4	3	1	0	+5	10
6	Aris	4	3	1	0	+5	10
7	AEK	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Panathinaikos	4	2	1	1	+7	7
9	Panserraikos	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Kifisia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Atromitos	3	1	2	0	+1	5
12	Panetolikos	4	1	2	1	-3	5
13	Volos NFC	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Giannina	4	1	0	3	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	AEK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
3	Lamia	5	1	2	2	-5	5
4	Olympiakos	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	PAOK	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Asteras Tripolis	5	1	1	3	-4	4
7	OFI Crete	4	0	3	1	-3	3
8	Giannina	4	0	2	2	-2	2
9	Panserraikos	5	0	2	3	-4	2
10	Kifisia	6	0	2	4	-9	2
11	Aris Thessalonikis	4	0	1	3	-5	1
12	Aris	4	0	1	3	-5	1
13	Volos NFC	4	0	1	3	-8	1
14	Panetolikos	6	0	1	5	-11	1
15	Atromitos	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.