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Eliteserien
Referee: S Hauge
Stromsgodset
T U T T S
1–0
Full-time
Viking
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stromsgodset Viking
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 50%
36%
64%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
36%
56%
Both score Ø 58%
48%
68%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,92 xG 1,20
43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Stromsgodset 9. · Viking 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 25 18 4 3 +33 +17.1 58
2 Viking 25 16 4 5 +16 +3.5 52
3 Brann 25 16 3 6 +18 +1.0 51
4 Tromso 25 16 3 6 +11 +8.7 51
5 Molde 25 13 5 7 +25 +12.8 44
6 Lillestrom 25 12 3 10 +6 +6.9 39
7 Sarpsborg 08 25 11 4 10 +7 +2.8 37
8 Odd 25 8 7 10 -5 -5.6 31
9 Stromsgodset 25 9 3 13 -4 -3.9 30
10 Haugesund 26 8 6 12 -5 -2.8 30
11 Rosenborg 25 8 6 11 -9 -3.6 30
12 Ham-Kam 25 8 3 14 -20 -12.0 27
13 Valerenga 25 6 6 13 -10 -4.9 24
14 Stabaek 25 6 6 13 -12 -4.1 24
15 Sandefjord 25 5 6 14 -12 -13.0 21
16 Aalesund 26 5 3 18 -39 -3.0 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Stromsgodset Viking
1–0 E. Melkersen
L. Vilsvik
29′
Elias Hoff Melkersen 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Langås
↦ D. Brekalo
46′
🔁 S. Svendsen
↦ H. Tangen
46′
🔁 J. Bell
↦ P. Yazbek
H. Stenevik 🔁
↦ E. Melkersen
71′
72′
🔁 H. Haugen
↦ S. Bjørshol
76′
🔁 S. Adegbenro
↦ L. Salvesen
Kreshnik Krasniqi 🟨
78′
J. Therkelsen 🔁
↦ E. Andersen
80′
Herman Stengel 🟨
86′
92′
🟨 Samuel Adegbenro
T. Grøgaard 🔁
↦ L. Tómasson
93′
O. Enersen 🔁
↦ M. Mehnert
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Stromsgodset

3-4-3
1 V. Myhra G
5 B. Sørmo D
71 G. Valsvik D
27 F. Dahl D
26 L. Vilsvik M
10 H. Stengel M
8 K. Krasniqi M
17 L. Tómasson M
77 M. Mehnert F
9 E. Melkersen F
23 E. Andersen F
Bench (9)
7 H. Stenevik
22 J. Therkelsen
4 T. Grøgaard
14 O. Enersen
15 A. Heredia-Randen
3 S. Hanssen
2 A. Leifsson
40 M. Sætra
21 M. Farji

Coach: J. Isnes

Viking

4-3-3
30 P. Gunnarsson G
18 S. Bjørshol D
5 D. Diop D
4 D. Brekalo D
20 S. Pattynama D
14 P. Yazbek M
8 M. Solbakken M
21 H. Tangen M
19 S. Auklend F
9 L. Salvesen F
10 Z. Tripić F
Bench (9)
22 S. Langås
29 S. Svendsen
25 J. Bell
2 H. Haugen
27 S. Adegbenro
16 K. Løkberg
1 A. Østbø
11 Y. de Lanlay
23 J. Urbančič

Coach: B. Aarsheim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Hauge · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,7 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.