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Eredivisie
Referee: D Higler
Twente
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 78%
78%
78%
Points per game
2,4
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
56%
78%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
2,1
3,6
Conceded
0,7
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+2,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,50 xG 1,48
40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 4. · Feyenoord 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 9 9 0 0 +27 +20.3 27
2 AZ Alkmaar 9 8 1 0 +21 +10.6 25
3 Feyenoord 9 7 2 0 +26 +20.3 23
4 Twente 9 7 1 1 +13 +7.2 22
5 Go Ahead Eagles 10 4 3 3 +2 -8.2 15
6 Sparta Rotterdam 10 4 3 3 -1 -3.9 15
7 Excelsior 9 3 4 2 +1 -0.9 13
8 Heracles 10 3 3 4 -8 -5.5 12
9 Zwolle 10 3 2 5 -5 -3.3 11
10 Heerenveen 10 3 1 6 -8 -5.0 10
11 For Sittard 10 2 4 4 -9 -0.8 10
12 Nijmegen 9 2 3 4 -2 -6.8 9
13 Waalwijk 9 3 0 6 -10 -2.3 9
14 Almere City 10 2 3 5 -11 -3.8 9
15 Vitesse 10 2 2 6 -9 -3.8 8
16 Utrecht 10 2 1 7 -12 -8.5 7
17 Ajax 7 1 2 4 -5 -2.8 5
18 Volendam 8 1 1 6 -10 -2.8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Feyenoord
1–0 M. Ugalde
A. Sampsted
10′
G. Smal 🔁
↦ Y. Regeer
29′
Manfred Ugalde 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 L. Ivanušec
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
46′
🔁 A. Jahanbakhsh
↦ Igor Paixão
Robin Pröpper 🟨
53′
60′
🔁 O. Lingr
↦ C. Stengs
Mees Hilgers 🟨
63′
C. Eiting 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
66′
R. van Wolfswinkel 🔁
↦ M. Vlap
66′
69′
🔁 A. Ueda
↦ R. Zerrouki
Ricky van Wolfswinkel 🟨
76′
2–0 R. van Wolfswinkel
78′
Manfred Ugalde ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
79′
80′
🔁 J. Dilrosun
↦ Q. Timber
A. Van Hoorenbeeck 🔁
↦ M. Hilgers
83′
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ M. Ugalde
83′
86′
L. Geertruida 2–1
90′
🟨 Quilindschy Hartman
Daan Rots 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
1 L. Unnerstall G
12 A. Sampsted D
2 M. Hilgers D
3 R. Pröpper D
8 Y. Regeer D
4 M. Kjølø M
23 M. Sadílek M
11 D. Rots M
14 S. Steijn M
18 M. Vlap M
27 M. Ugalde F
Bench (10)
5 G. Smal
6 C. Eiting
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
17 A. Van Hoorenbeeck
7 M. van Bergen
24 J. Mesbahi
41 G. Besselink
22 P. Tytoń
16 I. El Maach
19 Y. Taha

Coach: J. Oosting

Feyenoord

4-3-3
1 J. Bijlow G
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
4 L. Geertruida D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
6 R. Zerrouki M
8 Q. Timber M
10 C. Stengs F
29 S. Giménez F
14 Igor Paixão F
Bench (11)
17 L. Ivanušec
7 A. Jahanbakhsh
32 O. Lingr
9 A. Ueda
11 J. Dilrosun
16 T. van den Belt
27 A. Milambo
31 K. Lamprou
15 M. López
22 T. Wellenreuther
3 T. Beelen

Coach: A. Slot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,09
U
3,68
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Higler · 133 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.