La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Osasuna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +15 | +9.0 | 28 |
| 2 |
Girona
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +12 | +4.9 | 28 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +11 | +13.8 | 24 |
| 4 |
Ath Madrid
|
9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +15 | +7.8 | 22 |
| 5 |
Sociedad
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +6 | -1.1 | 18 |
| 6 |
Ath Bilbao
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +6 | +6.2 | 17 |
| 7 |
Vallecano
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -1 | +1.1 | 16 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | +0.6 | 14 |
| 9 |
Betis
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | -2 | -3.0 | 14 |
| 10 |
Las Palmas
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | -2 | -2.2 | 14 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -3 | -3.1 | 13 |
| 12 |
Getafe
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -3 | -4.8 | 12 |
| 13 |
Sevilla
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1 | -2.9 | 10 |
| 14 |
Cadiz
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 | -6.6 | 10 |
| 15 |
Mallorca
|
11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4 | -2.6 | 9 |
| 16 |
Villarreal
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | -2.9 | 9 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -6 | +0.4 | 9 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | -2.2 | 6 |
| 19 |
Granada
|
10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | -10.1 | 6 |
| 20 |
Almeria
|
11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -17 | -2.3 | 3 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Héctor Bellerín
D
Chadi Riad
D
Juan Miranda
D
Guido Rodríguez
M
Marc Roca
M
Assane Diao
M
Isco
M
Ayoze Pérez
M
Coach: M. Pellegrini
Sergio Herrera
G
Jesús Areso
D
Alejandro Catena
D
Rubén Peña
D
Jon Moncayola
M
Lucas Torró
M
Aimar Oroz
M
Moi Gómez
M
Ante Budimir
F
Coach: Arrasate
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aris
Betis
Getafe
Betis
Alaves
Betis
Betis
Sparta Praha
Betis
Valencia
Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.