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La Liga
Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez
Betis
S S U U S
2–1
Full-time
Osasuna
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Osasuna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
40%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 45%
60%
30%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,23 xG 0,40
50% Possession 50%
9 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 1
0 Blocked shots 1
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 25
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 9. · Osasuna 11.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 11 9 1 1 +15 +9.0 28
2 Girona 11 9 1 1 +12 +4.9 28
3 Barcelona 11 7 3 1 +11 +13.8 24
4 Ath Madrid 9 7 1 1 +15 +7.8 22
5 Sociedad 10 5 3 2 +6 -1.1 18
6 Ath Bilbao 10 5 2 3 +6 +6.2 17
7 Vallecano 10 4 4 2 -1 +1.1 16
8 Valencia 10 4 2 4 +1 +0.6 14
9 Betis 10 3 5 2 -2 -3.0 14
10 Las Palmas 11 4 2 5 -2 -2.2 14
11 Osasuna 10 4 1 5 -3 -3.1 13
12 Getafe 11 2 6 3 -3 -4.8 12
13 Sevilla 10 2 4 4 +1 -2.9 10
14 Cadiz 11 2 4 5 -6 -6.6 10
15 Mallorca 11 1 6 4 -4 -2.6 9
16 Villarreal 10 2 3 5 -4 -2.9 9
17 Alaves 10 2 3 5 -6 +0.4 9
18 Celta 11 1 3 7 -9 -2.2 6
19 Granada 10 1 3 6 -10 -10.1 6
20 Almeria 11 0 3 8 -17 -2.3 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Osasuna
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Willian José
Isco
46′
46′
🔁 Johan Mojica
↦ Jon Moncayola
46′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ Chimy Ávila
54′
🟨 David García
Luiz Henrique 🔁
↦ Willian José
64′
Assane Diao ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
67′
68′
ℹ️ David García
VAR: Card upgrade
Luiz Henrique 🟨
71′
Abdessamad Ezzalzouli 🔁
↦ Ayoze Pérez
75′
Isco 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 Kike Barja
↦ Rubén Peña
77′
🔁 Rubén García
↦ Lucas Torró
80′
🟨 Moi Gómez
81′
🟨 Alejandro Catena
85′
Rubén García 1–1
Alejandro Catena
William Carvalho 🔁
↦ Marc Roca
87′
Abner Vinícius 🔁
↦ Juan Miranda
87′
89′
🔁 Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
↦ Ante Budimir
Assane Diao 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Sergio Herrera
2–1 Isco
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1
1 Claudio Bravo G
2 Héctor Bellerín D
6 Germán Pezzella D
28 Chadi Riad D
3 Juan Miranda D
5 Guido Rodríguez M
21 Marc Roca M
38 Assane Diao M
22 Isco M
10 Ayoze Pérez M
12 Willian José F
Bench (11)
11 Luiz Henrique
7 Abdessamad Ezzalzouli
20 Abner Vinícius
14 William Carvalho
30 Francisco Vieites
13 Rui Silva
24 Aitor Ruibal
34 Ricardo Visus
17 Rodri Sánchez
16 Juan Cruz
18 Andrés Guardado

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Osasuna

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Herrera G
12 Jesús Areso D
24 Alejandro Catena D
5 David García D
15 Rubén Peña D
7 Jon Moncayola M
6 Lucas Torró M
9 Chimy Ávila M
10 Aimar Oroz M
16 Moi Gómez M
17 Ante Budimir F
Bench (12)
22 Johan Mojica
23 Raúl García
14 Rubén García
11 Kike Barja
19 Pablo Ibáñez Lumbreras
13 Aitor Fernández
4 Unai García
28 Jorge Herrando
2 Nacho Vidal
8 Darko Brašanac
20 José Manuel Arnáiz
34 Iker Munoz

Coach: Arrasate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,41
B
3,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,72
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.