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Super League
Olympiakos
S T T S T
3–0
Full-time
Aris
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,2
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 30/28 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,1
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
70%
43%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
43%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 0
9 Corners 0
11 Free kicks against 5
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 3. · Aris 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 30 20 9 1 +41 69
2 PAOK 31 20 4 7 +43 64
3 Olympiakos 30 20 3 7 +35 63
4 Panathinaikos 30 19 5 6 +42 62
5 Aris Thessalonikis 28 14 6 8 +13 48
6 Aris 28 14 6 8 +13 48
7 Lamia 31 10 8 13 -16 38
8 Atromitos 30 8 11 11 -14 35
9 Asteras Tripolis 30 10 4 16 -14 34
10 Panserraikos 30 7 10 13 -19 31
11 OFI Crete 30 6 12 12 -18 30
12 Volos NFC 30 6 8 16 -24 26
13 Panetolikos 30 5 9 16 -24 24
14 Kifisia 30 3 12 15 -32 21
15 Giannina 30 3 11 16 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
4,83
B
8,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.