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Conference League
Referee: M Mariani
1–6
Full-time
Olympiakos
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maccabi Tel Aviv Olympiakos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/3 matches
Win Ø 72%
77%
67%
Points per game
2,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
62%
33%
Both score Ø 51%
69%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

1,27 xG 2,60
47% Possession 53%
7 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 8
0 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Maccabi Tel Aviv Olympiakos
10′
Daniel Podence 0–1
K. Fortounis
D. Biton 🔁
↦ Milson
14′
36′
K. Fortounis 0–2
Daniel Podence
Half-time 0–3
48′
A. El Kaabi 0–3
Daniel Podence
1–3 E. Zahavi
57′
65′
A. El Kaabi 1–4
F. Ortega
Osher Davida 🟨
70′
D. Turgeman 🔁
↦ J. van Overeem
74′
81′
🟨 Kostas Fortounis
82′
🔁 S. Jovetić
↦ André Horta
88′
🔁 Y. El-Arabi
↦ A. El Kaabi
A. Cohen 🔁
↦ I. Shahar
90′
93′
S. Jovetić 1–5
P. Retsos
96′
🟨 Daniel Podence
96′
🔁 G. Masouras
↦ K. Fortounis
103′
🔁 Iborra
↦ Daniel Podence
103′
Y. El-Arabi 1–6
G. Masouras
105′
🔁 Quini
↦ Rodinei
Kiko Bondoso 🔁
↦ O. Davida
107′
Y. Cohen 🔁
↦ D. Biton
108′
O. Davidzada 🔁
↦ R. Revivo
113′
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Maccabi Tel Aviv

4-1-4-1
90 R. Mishpati G
36 I. Shahar D
5 I. Nachmias D
4 Enric Saborit D
3 R. Revivo D
14 J. van Overeem M
77 O. Davida M
42 Dor Peretz M
16 G. Kanichowsky M
17 Milson M
7 E. Zahavi F
Bench (12)
10 D. Biton
9 D. Turgeman
2 A. Cohen
70 Kiko Bondoso
11 Y. Cohen
27 O. Davidzada
19 Daniel
25 D. Luckassen
30 M. Baltaxa
23 E. Golasa
72 E. Kartsev
22 O. Mosquera

Coach: R. Keane

Olympiakos

4-3-3
88 K. Tzolakis G
23 Rodinei D
45 P. Retsos D
16 David Carmo D
3 F. Ortega D
32 S. Hezze M
5 André Horta M
6 Chiquinho M
7 K. Fortounis F
9 A. El Kaabi F
56 Daniel Podence F
Bench (10)
22 S. Jovetić
11 Y. El-Arabi
19 G. Masouras
8 Iborra
18 Quini
27 O. Richards
74 A. Ntoi
20 João Carvalho
99 T. Papadoudis
1 A. Paschalakis

Coach: José Luis Mendilibar

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Mariani · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.