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Super League

Referee: E Wattellier

Olympiakos

T T S T S

3–0

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,8

2,8

Scored

2,3

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 31/28 matches

Win Ø 59%

68%

50%

Points per game

2,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

71%

43%

Both score Ø 46%

48%

43%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

2,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%

20 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 0

8 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

9 Corners 0

4 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Olympiakos 2. · Aris Thessalonikis 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	30	20	9	1	+41	69
2	Olympiakos	31	21	3	7	+38	66
3	PAOK	31	20	4	7	+43	64
4	Panathinaikos	30	19	5	6	+42	62
5	Aris Thessalonikis	28	14	6	8	+13	48
6	Aris	29	14	6	9	+10	48
7	Lamia	31	10	8	13	-16	38
8	Atromitos	30	8	11	11	-14	35
9	Asteras Tripolis	30	10	4	16	-14	34
10	Panserraikos	30	7	10	13	-19	31
11	OFI Crete	30	6	12	12	-18	30
12	Volos NFC	30	6	8	16	-24	26
13	Panetolikos	30	5	9	16	-24	24
14	Kifisia	30	3	12	15	-32	21
15	Giannina	30	3	11	16	-26	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	15	12	3	0	+25	39
2	Olympiakos	16	12	0	4	+27	36
3	Panathinaikos	15	10	3	2	+26	33
4	PAOK	16	10	3	3	+22	33
5	Aris Thessalonikis	14	9	3	2	+12	30
6	Aris	14	9	3	2	+12	30
7	OFI Crete	15	6	6	3	+5	24
8	Lamia	15	7	2	6	-3	23
9	Panserraikos	15	5	7	3	+1	22
10	Atromitos	15	5	6	4	-3	21
11	Asteras Tripolis	15	6	3	6	-5	21
12	Panetolikos	15	5	3	7	-8	18
13	Volos NFC	15	4	3	8	-8	15
14	Giannina	15	2	7	6	-8	13
15	Kifisia	15	2	7	6	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	15	10	1	4	+21	31
2	AEK	15	8	6	1	+16	30
3	Olympiakos	15	9	3	3	+11	30
4	Panathinaikos	15	9	2	4	+16	29
5	Aris Thessalonikis	14	5	3	6	+1	18
6	Aris	15	5	3	7	-2	18
7	Lamia	16	3	6	7	-13	15
8	Atromitos	15	3	5	7	-11	14
9	Asteras Tripolis	15	4	1	10	-9	13
10	Volos NFC	15	2	5	8	-16	11
11	Panserraikos	15	2	3	10	-20	9
12	Kifisia	15	1	5	9	-23	8
13	Giannina	15	1	4	10	-18	7
14	Panetolikos	15	0	6	9	-16	6
15	OFI Crete	15	0	6	9	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.