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Super League
Referee: K Perrakis
Olympiakos
S S T T S
3–1
Full-time
Panetolikos
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos Panetolikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 42%
75%
8%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,7
0,6
Conceded
0,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

59% Possession 41%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 2. · Panetolikos 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 11 9 1 1 +26 28
2 Olympiakos 12 9 1 2 +22 28
3 AEK 11 7 3 1 +12 24
4 PAOK 12 7 3 2 +11 24
5 OFI Crete 13 4 6 3 -1 18
6 Lamia 12 5 3 4 -5 18
7 Aris Thessalonikis 11 5 2 4 +2 17
8 Aris 11 5 2 4 +2 17
9 Panserraikos 11 3 4 4 -5 13
10 Atromitos 12 3 4 5 -8 13
11 Asteras Tripolis 12 3 2 7 -9 11
12 Kifisia 12 1 6 5 -9 9
13 Giannina 12 1 4 7 -9 7
14 Volos NFC 12 1 4 7 -13 7
15 Panetolikos 12 1 3 8 -16 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos Panetolikos
13′
I. Chatzitheodoridis 0–1
F. Pérez
0–2 M. Oikonomou
own goal
17′
Santiago Hezze 🟨
33′
1–2 K. Fortounis
G. Masouras
40′
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 João Pedro
↦ A. Voilis
Giulian Biancone 🟨
48′
59′
🟨 Juanpi Añor
61′
🔁 C. Belevonis
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
A. El Kaabi 🔁
↦ S. Jovetić
68′
Daniel Podence 🔁
↦ Pep Biel
68′
2–2 A. El Kaabi
70′
I. Brnić 🔁
↦ G. Masouras
74′
Iborra 🔁
↦ G. Biancone
74′
76′
🔁 F. Baldassarra
↦ F. Pérez
76′
🔁 S. Díaz
↦ Frederico Duarte
Mady Camara 🟨
78′
81′
🔁 C. Mavrias
↦ G. Liavas
João Carvalho 🔁
↦ K. Fortounis
85′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-4-2
1 A. Paschalakis G
23 Rodinei D
41 G. Biancone D
74 A. Ntoi D
18 Quini D
21 Pep Biel M
32 S. Hezze M
4 M. Camara M
7 K. Fortounis M
19 G. Masouras F
22 S. Jovetić F
Bench (9)
9 A. El Kaabi
56 Daniel Podence
77 I. Brnić
8 Iborra
20 João Carvalho
98 O. Solbakken
3 F. Ortega
11 Y. El-Arabi
88 K. Tzolakis

Coach: Diego Martínez

Panetolikos

3-5-2
1 S. Kapino G
6 M. Oikonomou D
26 B. Duarte D
5 S. Mladen D
54 G. Liavas M
10 J. Añor M
34 F. Pérez M
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis M
24 P. Silva M
19 A. Voilis F
14 Frederico Duarte F
Bench (9)
45 João Pedro
8 C. Belevonis
80 F. Baldassarra
22 S. Díaz
35 C. Mavrias
49 N. Stajić
18 I. Bouzoukis
32 A. Stergiakis
23 G. Xenitidis

Coach: G. Petrakis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,12
U
8,24
B
17,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,43
U2,5
2,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Perrakis · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.