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Super League
Referee: C Vergetis
Panetolikos
S T U S S
1–2
Full-time
Panathinaikos
U U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Panathinaikos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 46%
50%
42%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 38%
42%
33%
Average goals
1,9
1,6
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
0,8
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%
12 Shots 17
2 Shots on target 8
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 5. · Panathinaikos 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 11 6 3 2 +12 21
2 Olympiakos 12 6 3 3 +7 21
3 Aris Thessalonikis 12 6 3 3 +6 21
4 Aris 12 6 3 3 +6 21
5 Panetolikos 12 6 3 3 +5 21
6 PAOK 12 6 2 4 +6 20
7 Panathinaikos 12 5 5 2 +3 20
8 OFI Crete 13 5 4 4 -2 19
9 Asteras Tripolis 12 4 5 3 +2 17
10 Volos NFC 13 5 1 7 -7 16
11 Atromitos 12 4 3 5 +0 15
12 Panserraikos 13 4 1 8 -7 13
13 Levadeiakos 12 1 6 5 -9 9
14 Lamia 13 1 5 7 -11 8
15 Athens Kallithea 13 0 7 6 -11 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panetolikos Panathinaikos
10′
F. Đuričić 0–1
34′
🟨 Filip Đuričić
43′
🟨 Adam Gnezda Čerin
Half-time 1–1
1–1 I. Bouzoukis
P. Silva
52′
Daniel Lajud 🔁
↦ A. Roa
55′
G. Liavas 🔁
↦ Miguel Luís
56′
65′
🔁 T. Bakasetas
↦ A. Gnezda Čerin
65′
🔁 F. Pellistri
↦ F. Đuričić
Giannis Bouzoukis 🟨
71′
74′
🟨 Tin Jedvaj
77′
🔁 D. Mancini
↦ Tetê
77′
🔁 Zeca
↦ A. Ounahi
C. Belevonis 🔁
↦ I. Bouzoukis
80′
S. Mladen 🔁
↦ N. Stajić
80′
Christos Sielis 🟨
84′
Epameinondas Pantelakis 🟨
88′
M. Bakakis 🔁
↦ C. Mavrias
88′
92′
Willian Arão 1–2
T. Bakasetas
Epameinondas Pantelakis 🟨
95′
Epameinondas Pantelakis 🟥
95′
97′
🔁 A. Šporar
↦ A. Jeremejeff
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Panetolikos

3-5-2
13 L. Chaves G
16 C. Shielis D
4 E. Pantelakis D
49 N. Stajić D
35 C. Mavrias M
90 Miguel Luís M
10 F. Pérez M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
24 P. Silva M
20 A. Roa F
15 S. Lomónaco F
Bench (9)
11 Daniel Lajud
54 G. Liavas
8 C. Belevonis
5 S. Mladen
2 M. Bakakis
23 G. Agapakis
6 S. Kontouris
77 E. Nikolaou
1 M. Pardalos

Coach: G. Petrakis

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
69 B. Drągowski G
2 G. Vagiannidis D
21 T. Jedvaj D
15 S. Ingason D
25 F. Mladenović D
16 A. Gnezda Čerin M
55 Willian Arão M
8 A. Ounahi M
10 Tetê F
29 A. Jeremejeff F
31 F. Đuričić F
Bench (9)
11 T. Bakasetas
28 F. Pellistri
17 D. Mancini
6 Zeca
9 A. Šporar
27 G. Kotsiras
5 B. Schenkeveld
3 P. Max
1 Y. Lodygin

Coach: Rui Vitória

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,39
U
3,59
B ✓
1,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,15
U2,5
1,66
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Vergetis · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.