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Premiership

Referee: B Madden

Aberdeen

S U T S T

2–1

Full-time

Livingston

U U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Livingston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Premiership · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 37%

47%

26%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

58%

63%

Both score Ø 48%

42%

53%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 2

6 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Livingston 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	18	16	1	1	+42	49
2	Rangers	17	14	2	1	+40	44
3	Motherwell	19	11	1	7	+6	34
4	Aberdeen	19	9	5	5	+3	32
5	Hibernian	20	6	7	7	-5	25
6	Kilmarnock	19	6	5	8	-5	23
7	Livingston	19	5	7	7	+0	22
8	Ross County	18	5	5	8	-19	20
9	St Mirren	19	4	4	11	-12	16
10	ST Johnstone	17	3	7	7	-19	16
11	Hamilton	19	3	6	10	-14	15
12	Hearts	20	2	6	12	-17	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	10	10	0	0	+29	30
2	Rangers	7	6	0	1	+21	18
3	Aberdeen	9	5	3	1	+5	18
4	Motherwell	10	6	0	4	+3	18
5	Kilmarnock	10	4	4	2	+5	16
6	Livingston	9	4	3	2	+6	15
7	Hibernian	10	3	5	2	+2	14
8	Ross County	9	4	1	4	-6	13
9	St Mirren	9	3	3	3	-1	12
10	Hamilton	10	3	2	5	-3	11
11	ST Johnstone	9	2	3	4	-7	9
12	Hearts	10	1	4	5	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	10	8	2	0	+19	26
2	Celtic	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Motherwell	9	5	1	3	+3	16
4	Aberdeen	10	4	2	4	-2	14
5	Hibernian	10	3	2	5	-7	11
6	Livingston	10	1	4	5	-6	7
7	Kilmarnock	9	2	1	6	-10	7
8	ST Johnstone	8	1	4	3	-12	7
9	Ross County	9	1	4	4	-13	7
10	Hearts	10	1	2	7	-13	5
11	Hamilton	9	0	4	5	-11	4
12	St Mirren	10	1	1	8	-11	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.