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Championship

Referee: D Bond

Leeds

S S S U T

1–1

Full-time

Preston

T T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Preston

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,2

Scored

2,2

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,8

This season — Championship · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 55%

61%

48%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

35%

48%

Both score Ø 46%

39%

52%

Average goals

2,2

2,7

Scored

1,6

1,5

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

70% Possession 30%

17 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 22

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leeds 2. · Preston 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	24	14	9	1	+22	51
2	Leeds	23	14	5	4	+21	47
3	Sheffield Weds	24	11	6	7	+13	39
4	Fulham	22	11	5	6	+11	38
5	Preston	23	11	5	7	+8	38
6	Nott'm Forest	23	10	7	6	+7	37
7	Swansea	22	10	7	5	+6	37
8	Blackburn	24	10	6	8	+2	36
9	Bristol City	24	9	8	7	+0	35
10	Millwall	24	8	10	6	-1	34
11	Hull	24	9	6	9	+4	33
12	Cardiff	23	8	9	6	+2	33
13	QPR	23	9	5	9	-7	32
14	Brentford	21	9	4	8	+12	31
15	Birmingham	24	8	5	11	-10	29
16	Charlton	24	7	7	10	-1	28
17	Derby	24	6	9	9	-10	27
18	Middlesbrough	24	6	9	9	-10	27
19	Reading	22	7	5	10	+1	26
20	Huddersfield	24	6	7	11	-10	25
21	Stoke	24	6	3	15	-11	21
22	Luton	24	6	3	15	-19	21
23	Barnsley	24	4	8	12	-15	20
24	Wigan	24	4	8	12	-15	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Preston	12	9	2	1	+16	29
2	Leeds	11	7	3	1	+11	24
3	Cardiff	11	7	3	1	+9	24
4	West Brom	11	6	5	0	+13	23
5	Fulham	12	7	2	3	+9	23
6	Blackburn	13	6	5	2	+5	23
7	Sheffield Weds	11	6	4	1	+6	22
8	Middlesbrough	13	6	4	3	+1	22
9	Hull	13	6	2	5	+5	20
10	Derby	12	5	5	2	+5	20
11	Millwall	11	5	4	2	+4	19
12	Brentford	10	5	3	2	+11	18
13	Charlton	13	5	3	5	+2	18
14	Swansea	11	5	2	4	+4	17
15	Birmingham	11	5	2	4	+1	17
16	Bristol City	11	4	4	3	+2	16
17	QPR	12	4	4	4	-3	16
18	Wigan	12	4	4	4	-3	16
19	Reading	11	5	0	6	+1	15
20	Luton	12	4	3	5	-1	15
21	Barnsley	13	3	6	4	-3	15
22	Nott'm Forest	10	4	2	4	-1	14
23	Stoke	13	4	2	7	-3	14
24	Huddersfield	12	3	4	5	-3	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	13	8	4	1	+9	28
2	Leeds	12	7	2	3	+10	23
3	Nott'm Forest	13	6	5	2	+8	23
4	Swansea	11	5	5	1	+2	20
5	Bristol City	13	5	4	4	-2	19
6	Sheffield Weds	13	5	2	6	+7	17
7	QPR	11	5	1	5	-4	16
8	Fulham	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Millwall	13	3	6	4	-5	15
10	Brentford	11	4	1	6	+1	13
11	Hull	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Blackburn	11	4	1	6	-3	13
13	Huddersfield	12	3	3	6	-7	12
14	Birmingham	13	3	3	7	-11	12
15	Reading	11	2	5	4	+0	11
16	Charlton	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Cardiff	12	1	6	5	-7	9
18	Preston	11	2	3	6	-8	9
19	Stoke	11	2	1	8	-8	7
20	Derby	12	1	4	7	-15	7
21	Luton	12	2	0	10	-18	6
22	Middlesbrough	11	0	5	6	-11	5
23	Barnsley	11	1	2	8	-12	5
24	Wigan	12	0	4	8	-12	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.