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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Livingston
U U S S T
0–2
Full-time
Aberdeen
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,6
This season — Premiership · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
80%
40%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
1,4
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

4 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 2
3 Corners 3
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 5. · Aberdeen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 5 5 0 0 +15 15
2 Rangers 5 4 0 1 +7 12
3 Motherwell 5 3 1 1 +3 10
4 Aberdeen 5 2 2 1 +3 8
5 Livingston 5 2 2 1 +2 8
6 Kilmarnock 5 2 1 2 +0 7
7 Ross County 5 2 1 2 -2 7
8 Hamilton 5 1 1 3 -4 4
9 Hibernian 5 1 1 3 -9 4
10 St Mirren 5 1 0 4 -3 3
11 ST Johnstone 5 0 3 2 -8 3
12 Hearts 5 0 2 3 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Aberdeen
29′
A. Considine 0–1
R. Hedges
Half-time 0–1
J. Stobbs 🔁
↦ C. Erskine
46′
S. Lawson 🔁
↦ M. Bartley
60′
64′
🔁 C. McLennan
↦ R. Hedges
S. Tiffoney 🔁
↦ S. Robinson
66′
68′
🔁 S. Cosgrove
↦ C. Main
75′
🔁 S. Logan
↦ Z. Vyner
Keaghan Jacobs 🟨
83′
Nicky Devlin 🟨
90′
93′
S. Cosgrove 0–2
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Livingston

4-2-3-1
1 R. Stewart G
2 N. Devlin M
5 R. Lamie D
27 J. Guthrie D
21 J. McMillan D
17 S. Robinson M
7 K. Jacobs M
6 M. Bartley M
19 C. Erskine M
16 R. Crawford M
11 S. Lawless M
Bench (7)
31 J. Stobbs
33 S. Lawson
22 S. Tiffoney
20 A. Souda
15 C. Pepe
30 M. Šarkić
10 C. Sibbald

Coach: G. Holt

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
6 M. Devlin D
3 G. Leigh D
33 Z. Vyner D
10 N. McGinn F
11 R. Hedges M
19 L. Ferguson M
24 D. Campbell F
21 J. Gallagher F
9 C. Main F
Bench (7)
18 C. McLennan
16 S. Cosgrove
2 S. Logan
28 J. Wilson
25 B. Anderson
42 C. Barron
20 T. Černý

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,08
U
3,06
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.