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Serie B
Ascoli
S U T S T
1–0
Full-time
Pisa
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ascoli Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 38%
41%
35%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
53%
47%
Both score Ø 62%
65%
59%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 6
5 Shots on target 1
3 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ascoli 11. · Pisa 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benevento 18 13 4 1 +21 43
2 Pordenone 18 9 4 5 +3 31
3 Cittadella 18 8 5 5 +1 29
4 Crotone 18 8 4 6 +6 28
5 Perugia 18 7 6 5 +0 27
6 Frosinone 18 7 5 6 +5 26
7 Salernitana 18 7 5 6 +3 26
8 Pescara 18 7 4 7 +3 25
9 Chievo 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Virtus Entella 17 7 4 6 +1 25
11 Ascoli 17 7 3 7 +4 24
12 Pisa 17 6 5 6 +1 23
13 Empoli 18 5 7 6 -5 22
14 Cremonese 17 5 6 6 -6 21
15 Juve Stabia 18 6 3 9 -8 21
16 Cosenza 18 4 8 6 +1 20
17 Spezia 16 5 5 6 +1 20
18 Venezia 18 4 7 7 -5 19
19 Trapani 18 3 6 9 -14 15
20 Livorno 18 3 2 13 -14 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,86
U
3,41
B
4,14
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.