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Premiership
Referee: A Dallas
0–1
Full-time
Celtic
S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee United Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
25%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
This season — Premiership · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
25%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 23
1 Shots on target 9
3 Blocked shots 4
9 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dundee United 4. · Celtic 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Hibernian 4 3 1 0 +5 10
3 Ross County 5 2 2 1 +1 8
4 Dundee United 4 2 1 1 +1 7
5 St Mirren 4 2 1 1 -1 7
6 Celtic 2 1 1 0 +4 4
7 ST Johnstone 4 1 1 2 -3 4
8 Aberdeen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Hamilton 4 1 0 3 -5 3
10 Motherwell 5 0 2 3 -3 2
11 Kilmarnock 5 0 2 3 -4 2
12 Livingston 4 0 2 2 -4 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dundee United Celtic
26′
🟨 Callum McGregor
Half-time 0–0
K. Freeman 🔁
↦ L. Neilson
60′
62′
🔁 J. Forrest
↦ M. Elyounoussi
A. Spörle 🔁
↦ L. Chalmers
65′
73′
🔁 A. Ajeti
↦ G. Taylor
L. Appéré 🔁
↦ N. Clark
74′
P. McMullan 🔁
↦ L. Bolton
74′
74′
🔁 K. Ajer
↦ O. Ntcham
Calum Butcher 🟨
80′
83′
🟨 Scott Brown
83′
⚽ A. Ajeti 0–1
86′
🔁 P. Klimala
↦ O. Édouard
Kieran Freeman 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Dundee United

4-1-4-1
1 B. Siegrist G
6 M. Reynolds D
5 M. Connolly D
17 J. Robson D
30 L. Neilson D
8 P. Pawlett M
18 C. Butcher M
20 L. Bolton M
23 I. Harkes M
10 N. Clark F
15 L. Chalmers M
Bench (9)
22 K. Freeman
3 A. Spörle
27 L. Appéré
7 P. McMullan
4 D. Powers
16 A. King
19 D. Mehmet
21 D. Glass
11 C. Smith

Coach: M. Mellon

Celtic

4-2-3-1
1 V. Barkas G
2 C. Jullien D
3 G. Taylor D
30 J. Frimpong D
8 S. Brown M
6 N. Bitton D
42 C. McGregor M
27 M. Elyounoussi M
21 O. Ntcham M
17 R. Christie M
22 O. Édouard F
Bench (9)
49 J. Forrest
10 A. Ajeti
35 K. Ajer
11 P. Klimala
55 K. McInroy
12 I. Soro
44 H. Elhamed
53 C. Harper
29 S. Bain

Coach: N. Lennon

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
12,49
U
6,03
B ✓
1,23
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
–
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
BLS nei ✓
–

Referee

A Dallas · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.