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Premiership

Referee: K Clancy

Celtic

S S S S S

3–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

100%

50%

Points per game

3,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,8

3,7

Scored

3,5

1,8

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+3,2

+0,0

This season — Premiership · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 61%

89%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

70%

56%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

2,9

1,0

Conceded

0,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+2,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

30 Shots 3

13 Shots on target 1

7 Corners 2

6 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Celtic 1. · Kilmarnock 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	27	24	1	2	+63	73
2	Rangers	27	20	4	3	+45	64
3	Motherwell	27	13	3	11	+1	42
4	Aberdeen	28	11	8	9	+2	41
5	Livingston	28	10	8	10	+3	38
6	Hibernian	28	9	10	9	-3	37
7	Kilmarnock	27	9	5	13	-7	32
8	ST Johnstone	27	7	11	9	-19	32
9	Ross County	28	7	8	13	-27	29
10	St Mirren	26	5	7	14	-14	22
11	Hamilton	28	4	9	15	-22	21
12	Hearts	27	3	10	14	-22	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	13	12	0	1	+36	36
2	Rangers	13	11	1	1	+27	34
3	Livingston	13	8	3	2	+11	27
4	Hibernian	14	5	7	2	+6	22
5	Kilmarnock	14	6	4	4	+5	22
6	Aberdeen	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Motherwell	13	6	1	6	-2	19
8	Ross County	13	5	3	5	-5	18
9	ST Johnstone	15	4	6	5	-8	18
10	St Mirren	13	4	5	4	-1	17
11	Hearts	14	2	6	6	-4	12
12	Hamilton	15	3	3	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	14	12	1	1	+27	37
2	Rangers	14	9	3	2	+18	30
3	Motherwell	14	7	2	5	+3	23
4	Aberdeen	14	5	5	4	+0	20
5	Hibernian	14	4	3	7	-9	15
6	ST Johnstone	12	3	5	4	-11	14
7	Livingston	15	2	5	8	-8	11
8	Ross County	15	2	5	8	-22	11
9	Kilmarnock	13	3	1	9	-12	10
10	Hamilton	13	1	6	6	-11	9
11	Hearts	13	1	4	8	-18	7
12	St Mirren	13	1	2	10	-13	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.