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Premiership
Referee: C Steven
Hearts
S T S U T
1–2
Full-time
Dundee
T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Premiership · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 33%
48%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 41%
44%
38%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,4
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%
17 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 4
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · Dundee 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 25 19 3 3 +41 60
2 Rangers 25 18 5 2 +32 59
3 Hearts 25 12 7 6 +9 43
4 Motherwell 25 9 6 10 -10 33
5 Hibernian 25 8 7 10 -2 31
6 Livingston 26 8 6 12 -8 30
7 Dundee United 25 8 6 11 -8 30
8 Aberdeen 24 8 5 11 -1 29
9 St Mirren 24 6 11 7 -10 29
10 Ross County 26 6 9 11 -6 27
11 ST Johnstone 24 4 7 13 -15 19
12 Dundee 24 4 6 14 -22 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Dundee
1–0 E. Simms
B. McKay
21′
40′
🟨 Charlie Adam
Half-time 2–0
51′
T. Sibbick 2–0
own goal
64′
🔁 M. Anderson
↦ J. Mulligan
J. Ginnelly 🔁
↦ A. Halliday
65′
66′
🟨 Zak Rudden
72′
🔁 N. McGinn
↦ Z. Rudden
B. Woodburn 🔁
↦ B. McKay
75′
78′
D. Mullen 2–1
N. McGinn
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ B. Baningime
80′
93′
🟨 Shaun Byrne
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-2-1
1 C. Gordon G
3 S. Kingsley D
4 J. Souttar D
15 T. Moore M
21 T. Sibbick D
16 A. Halliday M
5 P. Haring M
6 B. Baningime M
10 L. Boyce F
18 B. McKay F
20 E. Simms F
Bench (8)
30 J. Ginnelly
9 B. Woodburn
11 G. Mackay-Steven
38 F. Pollock
8 A. McEneff
13 R. Stewart
14 C. Devlin
17 A. Cochrane

Coach: R. Neilson

Dundee

3-5-2
21 I. Lawlor G
4 L. Fontaine D
6 J. McGhee D
2 C. Kerr M
5 R. Sweeney D
26 C. Adam M
8 S. Byrne M
18 P. McMullan M
15 J. Mulligan M
9 D. Mullen F
20 Z. Rudden F
Bench (8)
24 M. Anderson
77 N. McGinn
35 Z. Rossi
19 F. Robertson
12 J. Chapman
17 L. McCowan
11 D. McDaid
30 H. Sharp

Coach: J. McPake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,53
U
4,15
B ✓
6,03
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Steven · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.