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Premiership
Referee: G Duncan
Hearts
U U S S U
1–1
Full-time
Dundee
U T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,7
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,7
This season — Premiership · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 34%
56%
11%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
44%
56%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

71% Possession 29%
21 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 2. · Dundee 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 9 6 2 1 +8 20
2 Hearts 9 5 4 0 +9 19
3 Dundee United 9 5 2 2 +3 17
4 Celtic 9 5 1 3 +15 16
5 Hibernian 9 4 3 2 +3 15
6 Motherwell 9 4 2 3 +0 14
7 St Mirren 9 3 4 2 -4 13
8 Livingston 10 3 1 6 -6 10
9 ST Johnstone 9 2 3 4 -3 9
10 Aberdeen 9 2 2 5 -3 8
11 Dundee 9 1 3 5 -10 6
12 Ross County 10 0 3 7 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Dundee
Craig Halkett 🟨
30′
Ben Woodburn 🟨
34′
1–0 J. Souttar
B. Woodburn
37′
38′
🟨 Adam Legzdins
Half-time 1–0
G. Mackay-Steven 🔁
↦ B. Woodburn
46′
53′
🟨 Ryan Sweeney
55′
🔁 D. Mullen
↦ L. McCowan
59′
🟨 Jordan McGhee
A. Gnanduillet 🔁
↦ L. Boyce
60′
62′
🔁 J. Cummings
↦ P. McMullan
69′
🟨 Charlie Adam
69′
🔁 C. Sheridan
↦ L. Griffiths
J. Ginnelly 🔁
↦ B. McKay
77′
83′
J. Cummings 1–1
C. Kerr
96′
🟨 Danny Mullen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-3
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith M
3 S. Kingsley D
4 J. Souttar D
19 C. Halkett D
17 A. Cochrane M
18 B. McKay F
9 B. Woodburn F
6 B. Baningime M
14 C. Devlin M
10 L. Boyce F
Bench (7)
11 G. Mackay-Steven
21 A. Gnanduillet
30 J. Ginnelly
16 A. Halliday
5 P. Haring
13 R. Stewart
15 T. Moore

Coach: R. Neilson

Dundee

4-3-3
1 A. Legzdins G
14 L. Ashcroft D
6 J. McGhee M
2 C. Kerr D
5 R. Sweeney D
3 J. Marshall D
26 C. Adam M
18 P. McMullan F
24 M. Anderson M
17 L. McCowan F
29 L. Griffiths F
Bench (7)
9 D. Mullen
35 J. Cummings
23 C. Sheridan
4 L. Fontaine
10 P. McGowan
21 I. Lawlor
16 C. Elliott

Coach: J. McPake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,49
U ✓
4,21
B
6,47
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Duncan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.