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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Livingston
S S U T T
1–1
Full-time
St Mirren
T T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 17/16 matches
Win Ø 43%
41%
44%
Points per game
1,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
53%
63%
Both score Ø 46%
47%
44%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Livingston 8. · St Mirren 6. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 18 17 0 1 +42 51
2 Rangers 18 13 3 2 +23 42
3 Aberdeen 18 8 1 9 +2 25
4 Hearts 17 7 4 6 +1 25
5 ST Johnstone 18 7 3 8 -4 24
6 St Mirren 16 7 3 6 -4 24
7 Hibernian 18 7 2 9 -2 23
8 Livingston 17 7 2 8 -10 23
9 Motherwell 17 5 3 9 -2 18
10 Kilmarnock 18 4 4 10 -17 16
11 Ross County 18 4 3 11 -15 15
12 Dundee United 17 3 4 10 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

1. Oct -22 St Mirren – Livingston 2–1 11. May -22 St Mirren – Livingston 0–0 19. Feb -22 Livingston – St Mirren 1–1 20. Nov -21 St Mirren – Livingston 1–1 2. Oct -21 Livingston – St Mirren 0–1

Match report

Livingston St Mirren
6′
🟨 Mark O'Hara
Scott Pitman 🟥
24′
Scott Pitman ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
24′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ J. Ayunga
55′
🟨 Mark O'Hara
55′
🟥 Mark O'Hara
1–0 C. Montaño ⚽
56′
63′
⚽ C. Main 1–1
E. Brophy
72′
🟨 Declan Gallagher
J. Penrice 🔁
↦ C. Montaño
72′
J. Holt 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
72′
74′
🟨 Charles Dunne
80′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ R. Strain
S. Oméonga 🔁
↦ D. Bahamboula
82′
Jason Holt 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Livingston

3-5-2
31 I. Konovalov G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
15 M. Boyes D
7 D. Bahamboula M
22 A. Shinnie M
24 S. Kelly M
8 S. Pittman M
11 C. Montaño M
17 S. Kelly F
9 B. Anderson F
Bench (8)
29 J. Penrice
18 J. Holt
33 S. Oméonga
1 S. George
32 J. Hamilton
3 J. Longridge
10 Esmaël Gonçalves
25 P. Čančar

Coach: D. Martindale

St Mirren

5-3-2
1 T. Carson G
23 R. Strain D
22 M. Fraser D
31 D. Gallagher D
18 C. Dunne D
3 S. Tanser D
17 K. Baccus M
16 E. Erhahon M
6 M. O'Hara M
7 J. Ayunga F
10 C. Main F
Bench (9)
9 E. Brophy
11 G. Kiltie
8 R. Flynn
20 T. Olusanya
15 D. Reid
4 J. Shaughnessy
12 J. Henderson
27 P. Urminský
13 A. Gogić

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,43
🔒
U ✓
3,23
🔒
B
2,93
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,19
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,66
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.