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Premiership
Referee: C Napier
Hearts
S S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Livingston
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 47%
43%
50%
Points per game
1,4
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
57%
43%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
16 Shots 18
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 7
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 6
3 Offside 4
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 6. · Livingston 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 14 13 0 1 +36 39
2 Rangers 15 10 3 2 +20 33
3 Aberdeen 14 7 1 6 +5 22
4 Livingston 14 7 1 6 -5 22
5 St Mirren 15 6 3 6 -6 21
6 Hearts 14 6 2 6 -1 20
7 ST Johnstone 15 6 2 7 -2 20
8 Hibernian 15 6 2 7 -4 20
9 Motherwell 15 5 1 9 -2 16
10 Ross County 15 4 3 8 -12 15
11 Dundee United 15 3 3 9 -13 12
12 Kilmarnock 15 3 3 9 -16 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Livingston
Orestis Kiomourtzoglou 🟨
33′
Half-time 0–1
55′
S. Kelly 0–1
A. Shinnie
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ C. Devlin
63′
C. Smith 🔁
↦ O. Kiomourtzoglou
67′
69′
🔁 S. Pittman
↦ S. Kelly
74′
ℹ️ Joel Nouble
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Kye Rowles 🟥
75′
C. Halkett 🔁
↦ C. Smith
78′
81′
🟨 Stephane Omeonga
82′
🔁 D. Bahamboula
↦ A. Shinnie
1–1 J. Ginnelly
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hearts

4-1-4-1
1 C. Gordon G
2 M. Smith D
21 T. Sibbick D
15 K. Rowles D
19 A. Cochrane D
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou M
30 J. Ginnelly M
14 C. Devlin M
77 R. Snodgrass M
18 B. McKay M
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
17 A. Forrest
27 C. Smith
4 C. Halkett
20 L. Neilson
13 R. Stewart
39 F. Pollock
22 E. Henderson
12 N. Atkinson
51 B. McLuckie

Coach: R. Neilson

Livingston

4-2-3-1
31 I. Konovalov G
2 N. Devlin D
6 A. Obileye D
5 J. Fitzwater D
11 C. Montaño D
24 S. Kelly M
18 J. Holt M
33 S. Oméonga M
22 A. Shinnie M
17 S. Kelly M
19 J. Nouble F
Bench (8)
8 S. Pittman
7 D. Bahamboula
29 J. Penrice
10 Esmaël Gonçalves
32 J. Hamilton
9 B. Anderson
15 M. Boyes
3 J. Longridge

Coach: D. Martindale

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,98
U ✓
3,49
B
3,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,96
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

C Napier · 40 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.