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Premiership
Referee: D Munro
Hearts
S U S S U
1–0
Full-time
St Mirren
U S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts St Mirren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 20/19 matches
Win Ø 41%
45%
37%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
65%
53%
Both score Ø 56%
65%
47%
Average goals
3,4
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

68% Possession 32%
12 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 3. · St Mirren 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 21 19 1 1 +48 58
2 Rangers 21 15 4 2 +28 49
3 Hearts 20 9 5 6 +5 32
4 Aberdeen 21 9 2 10 +3 29
5 Livingston 20 8 4 8 -8 28
6 St Mirren 19 7 6 6 -4 27
7 Hibernian 21 8 2 11 -8 26
8 ST Johnstone 21 7 3 11 -8 24
9 Kilmarnock 21 5 5 11 -18 20
10 Motherwell 20 5 4 11 -6 19
11 Dundee United 20 5 4 11 -12 19
12 Ross County 21 4 4 13 -20 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts St Mirren
23′
🟨 Keanu Baccus
Michael Smith 🟨
24′
1–0 B. McKay
A. Halliday
29′
33′
🔁 G. Kiltie
↦ M. OHara
45′
🟨 Curtis Main
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Declan Gallagher
Robert Snodgrass 🟨
58′
C. Devlin 🔁
↦ A. Cochrane
60′
67′
🔁 J. Ayunga
↦ A. Greive
67′
🔁 D. Reid
↦ K. Baccus
G. Kuol 🔁
↦ B. McKay
77′
S. Humphrys 🔁
↦ J. Ginnelly
77′
80′
🟨 Dylan Reid
85′
🔁 E. Brophy
↦ R. Taylor
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ A. Halliday
87′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Hearts

3-4-2-1
28 Z. Clark G
72 J. Hill D
21 T. Sibbick D
15 K. Rowles D
2 M. Smith M
16 A. Halliday M
77 R. Snodgrass M
19 A. Cochrane M
9 L. Shankland F
18 B. McKay F
30 J. Ginnelly F
Bench (9)
14 C. Devlin
61 G. Kuol
29 S. Humphrys
17 A. Forrest
12 N. Atkinson
88 Y. Oda
7 J. Grant
13 R. Stewart
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou

Coach: R. Neilson

St Mirren

3-5-2
1 T. Carson G
31 D. Gallagher D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
5 R. Taylor D
8 R. Flynn M
17 K. Baccus M
13 A. Gogić M
6 M. O'Hara M
3 S. Tanser M
21 A. Greive
10 C. Main F
Bench (9)
11 G. Kiltie
7 J. Ayunga
15 D. Reid
9 E. Brophy
34 M. Campbell
20 T. Olusanya
27 P. Urminský
32 L. Kenny
30 F. Taylor

Coach: S. Robinson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,83
U
3,64
B
4,19
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Munro · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.