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Premiership

Referee: W Collum

Hearts

S T S T U

3–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Premiership · 15/16 matches

Win Ø 33%

40%

25%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

60%

44%

Both score Ø 49%

60%

38%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

1,6

0,8

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

63% Possession 37%

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 2

2 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hearts 6. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	16	15	0	1	+38	45
2	Rangers	16	11	3	2	+21	36
3	Aberdeen	16	8	1	7	+5	25
4	ST Johnstone	17	7	3	7	-1	24
5	Livingston	15	7	2	6	-5	23
6	Hearts	15	6	3	6	-1	21
7	St Mirren	15	6	3	6	-6	21
8	Hibernian	17	6	2	9	-6	20
9	Motherwell	16	5	2	9	-2	17
10	Ross County	17	4	3	10	-14	15
11	Kilmarnock	16	4	3	9	-15	15
12	Dundee United	16	3	3	10	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	9	8	1	0	+20	25
2	Celtic	7	7	0	0	+17	21
3	Aberdeen	8	6	0	2	+15	18
4	St Mirren	9	5	3	1	+5	18
5	Livingston	8	5	0	3	+0	15
6	Hibernian	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Kilmarnock	8	4	2	2	-2	14
8	Hearts	7	4	1	2	+1	13
9	ST Johnstone	8	3	2	3	+2	11
10	Dundee United	8	3	0	5	-6	9
11	Ross County	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Motherwell	7	1	1	5	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Celtic	9	8	0	1	+21	24
2	Motherwell	9	4	1	4	+4	13
3	ST Johnstone	9	4	1	4	-3	13
4	Rangers	7	3	2	2	+1	11
5	Hearts	8	2	2	4	-2	8
6	Livingston	7	2	2	3	-5	8
7	Ross County	8	2	1	5	-5	7
8	Aberdeen	8	2	1	5	-10	7
9	Hibernian	9	2	0	7	-10	6
10	Dundee United	8	0	3	5	-8	3
11	St Mirren	6	1	0	5	-11	3
12	Kilmarnock	8	0	1	7	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.