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Premiership
Referee: G Aitken
St Mirren
S U S S U
0–2
Full-time
Hearts
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
This season — Premiership · 26/27 matches
Win Ø 36%
27%
44%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
41%
Both score Ø 51%
54%
48%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
5 Shots 20
0 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
8 Corners 9
3 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Mirren 8. · Hearts 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 27 21 3 3 +43 66
2 Rangers 27 19 6 2 +34 63
3 Hearts 27 12 7 8 +7 43
4 Hibernian 27 9 7 11 -2 34
5 Livingston 28 9 7 12 -4 34
6 Dundee United 27 9 7 11 -6 34
7 Motherwell 27 9 7 11 -12 34
8 St Mirren 26 7 12 7 -9 33
9 Aberdeen 27 8 7 12 -2 31
10 Ross County 28 7 9 12 -6 30
11 ST Johnstone 28 5 8 15 -17 23
12 Dundee 27 5 6 16 -26 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Mirren Hearts
Connor Ronan 🟥
22′
27′
🟨 Nathaniel Atkinson
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 E. Simms
↦ B. Woodburn
55′
🔁 J. Ginnelly
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
56′
🔁 A. Cochrane
↦ N. Atkinson
Alan Power 🟨
62′
62′
🟨 Cameron Devlin
C. Main 🔁
↦ A. Greive
63′
R. Flynn 🔁
↦ G. Kiltie
63′
64′
E. Simms 0–1
Richard Tait 🟨
67′
67′
C. Devlin 0–2
E. Brophy 🔁
↦ A. Power
69′
69′
🔁 P. Haring
↦ C. Devlin
69′
🔁 A. Halliday
↦ S. Kingsley
86′
🟨 Peter Haring
89′
🟨 Craig Halkett
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
18 C. Dunne D
6 A. Power M
13 A. Gogić M
7 Jordan Jones M
11 G. Kiltie M
43 C. Ronan M
21 A. Greive F
Bench (9)
10 C. Main
8 R. Flynn
9 E. Brophy
5 C. McCarthy
16 E. Erhahon
12 J. Henderson
26 D. Lyness
44 M. Millar
3 S. Tanser

Coach: S. Robinson

Hearts

3-4-3
1 C. Gordon G
3 S. Kingsley D
4 J. Souttar D
19 C. Halkett D
12 N. Atkinson M
11 G. Mackay-Steven M
6 B. Baningime M
14 C. Devlin M
10 L. Boyce F
18 B. McKay F
9 B. Woodburn F
Bench (9)
20 E. Simms
30 J. Ginnelly
17 A. Cochrane
5 P. Haring
16 A. Halliday
15 T. Moore
8 A. McEneff
13 R. Stewart
21 T. Sibbick

Coach: R. Neilson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,15
U
3,16
B ✓
2,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Aitken · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.