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Premiership
Referee: J Beaton
Hibernian
S S T S T
0–1
Full-time
Hearts
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Hearts
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Premiership · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
56%
28%
Both score Ø 39%
50%
28%
Average goals
2,8
1,9
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 6. · Hearts 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 20 15 3 2 +34 48
2 Rangers 18 14 1 3 +29 43
3 Kilmarnock 20 8 6 6 +3 30
4 Hearts 18 9 2 7 +4 29
5 St Mirren 20 7 5 8 -4 26
6 Hibernian 18 6 6 6 -2 24
7 Dundee 17 5 6 6 -6 21
8 Aberdeen 16 5 4 7 -7 19
9 ST Johnstone 20 4 7 9 -14 19
10 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
11 Motherwell 19 3 7 9 -11 16
12 Livingston 19 2 6 11 -17 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

7. Oct -23 Hearts – Hibernian 2–2 27. May -23 Hearts – Hibernian 1–1 15. Apr -23 Hibernian – Hearts 1–0 2. Jan -23 Hearts – Hibernian 3–0 7. Aug -22 Hibernian – Hearts 1–1

Match report

Hibernian Hearts
5′
ℹ️ Alex Cochrane
VAR: Penalty confirmed
14′
🟨 Kye Rowles
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 B. McKay
↦ A. Denholm
É. Youan 🔁
↦ J. Campbell
53′
59′
🟨 Calem Nieuwenhof
60′
🔁 K. Vargas
↦ A. Forrest
Dylan Levitt 🟨
62′
Martin Boyle 🟨
73′
J. Jeggo 🔁
↦ D. Levitt
83′
88′
🟨 Nathaniel Atkinson
C. Doidge 🔁
↦ D. Vente
88′
93′
⚽ L. Shankland 0–1
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

4-2-3-1
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. Fish D
33 R. Bushiri D
21 J. Obita D
6 D. Levitt M
11 J. Newell M
32 J. Campbell M
9 D. Vente M
29 Jair Tavares M
10 M. Boyle F
Bench (9)
7 É. Youan
14 J. Jeggo
23 C. Doidge
16 L. Stevenson
4 P. Hanlon
35 R. Molotnikov
53 J. Landers
49 R. Whittaker
13 J. Wollacott

Coach: N. Montgomery

Hearts

3-5-2
28 Z. Clark G
3 S. Kingsley D
2 F. Kent D
15 K. Rowles D
13 N. Atkinson M
22 A. Denholm M
6 B. Baningime M
8 C. Nieuwenhof M
19 A. Cochrane M
17 A. Forrest F
9 L. Shankland F
Bench (9)
18 B. McKay
77 K. Vargas
1 C. Gordon
51 A. Lowry
21 T. Sibbick
5 P. Haring
4 C. Halkett
11 Y. Oda
30 K. Tagawa

Coach: S. Naismith

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,45
🔒
U
3,38
🔒
B ✓
2,78
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,89
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,88
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Beaton · 161 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.