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Premiership
Referee: G Irvine
Livingston
T T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Hibernian
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Livingston Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,2
Scored
0,2
1,7
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,2
This season — Premiership · 14/16 matches
Win Ø 23%
14%
31%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
29%
63%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
56%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
0,6
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
14 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 0
5 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Livingston 12. · Hibernian 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 16 13 3 0 +32 42
2 Rangers 15 11 1 3 +23 34
3 Hearts 15 7 2 6 +1 23
4 St Mirren 16 6 4 6 -3 22
5 Hibernian 16 5 6 5 -2 21
6 Kilmarnock 16 5 5 6 +0 20
7 Dundee 14 4 6 4 -2 18
8 Ross County 15 4 5 6 -6 17
9 Motherwell 16 3 5 8 -9 14
10 ST Johnstone 15 3 5 7 -12 14
11 Aberdeen 14 3 4 7 -9 13
12 Livingston 14 2 4 8 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Livingston Hibernian
28′
M. Boyle 0–1
Jamie Brandon 🟨
36′
Half-time 0–1
Michael Devlin 🟨
48′
51′
ℹ️ Dylan Vente
VAR: Goal cancelled
Ayo Obileye 🟨
52′
B. Anderson 🔁
↦ J. Brandon
57′
63′
🟨 Dylan Levitt
70′
🔁 J. Jeggo
↦ D. Levitt
T. Parkes 🔁
↦ A. Obileye
73′
S. Kelly 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
73′
78′
🔁 J. Campbell
↦ R. Whittaker
M. Sangare 🔁
↦ K. Guthrie
80′
87′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ D. Vente
Mohammed Sangare ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Livingston

3-4-2-1
1 S. George G
21 M. Nottingham D
6 A. Obileye D
5 M. Devlin D
12 J. Brandon M
18 J. Holt M
24 S. Kelly M
29 J. Penrice M
8 S. Pittman F
22 A. Shinnie F
28 K. Guthrie F
Bench (9)
9 B. Anderson
4 T. Parkes
10 S. Kelly
20 M. Sangare
25 D. Lloyd-McGoldrick
32 J. Hamilton
40 S. Lawal
19 J. Nouble
14 M. Welch-Hayes

Coach: D. Martindale

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 D. Marshall G
49 R. Whittaker D
5 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
21 J. Obita D
7 É. Youan M
6 D. Levitt M
11 J. Newell M
29 Jair Tavares M
10 M. Boyle F
9 D. Vente F
Bench (9)
14 J. Jeggo
32 J. Campbell
23 C. Doidge
33 R. Bushiri
16 L. Stevenson
13 J. Wollacott
35 R. Molotnikov
28 A. Delferrière
26 R. Harbottle

Coach: N. Montgomery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,40
U
3,37
B ✓
2,12
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,79
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Irvine · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.