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Premiership
Referee: G Grainger
ST Johnstone
S T T S U
1–0
Full-time
Hibernian
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

ST Johnstone Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 16/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
19%
35%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
31%
59%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,4
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

39% Possession 61%
14 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 0
2 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
5 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ST Johnstone 11. · Hibernian 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 17 13 3 1 +31 42
2 Rangers 16 12 1 3 +25 37
3 St Mirren 17 7 4 6 -1 25
4 Hibernian 17 6 6 5 -1 24
5 Kilmarnock 17 6 5 6 +1 23
6 Hearts 16 7 2 7 +0 23
7 Dundee 16 5 6 5 -3 21
8 Ross County 17 4 5 8 -9 17
9 Aberdeen 15 4 4 7 -8 16
10 Motherwell 17 3 6 8 -9 15
11 ST Johnstone 16 3 6 7 -12 15
12 Livingston 15 2 4 9 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Sep -23 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 2–0 22. Apr -23 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 1–1 21. Oct -22 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 1–2 30. Jul -22 ST Johnstone – Hibernian 0–1 15. May -22 Hibernian – ST Johnstone 4–0

Match report

ST Johnstone Hibernian
Maksym Kucheriavyi 🟨
6′
22′
🟨 Lewis Miller
Half-time 0–0
Franio Franczak 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 J. Campbell
↦ L. Miller
56′
🔁 R. Bushiri
↦ P. Hanlon
1–0 G. Carey ⚽
57′
C. Kane 🔁
↦ D. Jaiyesimi
72′
73′
🔁 C. Doidge
↦ D. Levitt
A. Considine 🔁
↦ F. Franczak
84′
85′
🟨 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga
89′
🟥 Dylan Vente
VAR: Red card cancelled
90′
🟨 Dylan Vente
S. Sprangler 🔁
↦ M. Kucheriavyi
98′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

ST Johnstone

3-4-1-2
1 D. Mitov G
5 R. McGowan D
6 L. Gordon D
19 L. Robinson D
46 F. Franczak
22 M. Smith M
34 D. Phillips M
3 T. Gallacher M
15 M. Kucheriavyi F
11 G. Carey F
13 D. Jaiyesimi F
Bench (9)
9 C. Kane
4 A. Considine
23 S. Sprangler
31 D. Richards
27 J. Turner-Cooke
44 D. Costelloe
10 N. Clark
2 J. Brown
7 S. May

Coach: C. Levein

Hibernian

4-4-2
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
5 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
21 J. Obita D
7 É. Youan M
6 D. Levitt M
14 J. Jeggo M
29 Jair Tavares M
9 D. Vente F
10 M. Boyle F
Bench (9)
32 J. Campbell
33 R. Bushiri
23 C. Doidge
28 A. Delferrière
13 J. Wollacott
26 R. Harbottle
35 R. Molotnikov
16 L. Stevenson
49 R. Whittaker

Coach: N. Montgomery

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,41
🔒
U
3,28
🔒
B
2,16
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
2,11
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,71
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Grainger · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.