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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Hearts
S T U S U
1–1
Full-time
Hibernian
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hearts Hibernian
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 37/37 matches
Win Ø 41%
41%
41%
Points per game
1,4
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
65%
59%
Both score Ø 54%
54%
54%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

32% Possession 68%
4 Shots 17
1 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hearts 4. · Hibernian 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 37 31 3 3 +75 96
2 Rangers 37 28 5 4 +53 89
3 Aberdeen 37 18 3 16 +1 57
4 Hearts 37 15 8 14 +6 53
5 Hibernian 37 15 6 16 -2 51
6 Motherwell 37 13 8 16 +1 47
7 St Mirren 37 12 10 15 -15 46
8 Livingston 37 13 7 17 -22 46
9 ST Johnstone 37 11 7 19 -20 40
10 Kilmarnock 37 10 7 20 -27 37
11 Ross County 37 9 7 21 -21 34
12 Dundee United 37 8 7 22 -29 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hearts Hibernian
1–0 Y. Oda
8′
James Hill 🟨
9′
O. Kiomourtzoglou 🔁
↦ P. Haring
18′
21′
🟨 Jake Doyle Hayes
24′
🟨 Lewis Stevenson
Alex Cochrane 🟥
29′
Alex Cochrane ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
29′
29′
ℹ️ Christopher Cadden
VAR: Penalty cancelled
T. Sibbick 🔁
↦ B. McKay
31′
31′
K. Nisbet 1–1
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 E. Henderson
↦ L. Miller
46′
🔁 H. McKirdy
↦ J. Jeggo
52′
🔁 J. Campbell
↦ J. Doyle-Hayes
56′
🔁 M. Čabraja
↦ L. Stevenson
63′
🟨 Christopher Cadden
68′
🔁 A. Delferrière
↦ C. Cadden
A. Forrest 🔁
↦ Y. Oda
77′
Lawrence Shankland 🟨
89′
90′
🟨 Josh Campbell
91′
🔁 M. Devlin
↦ E. Henderson
Nathaniel Atkinson 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 Michael Devlin
A. Halliday 🔁
↦ J. Ginnelly
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hearts

4-2-3-1
28 Z. Clark G
12 N. Atkinson D
72 J. Hill D
15 K. Rowles D
19 A. Cochrane D
14 C. Devlin M
5 P. Haring M
88 Y. Oda M
9 L. Shankland M
18 B. McKay M
30 J. Ginnelly F
Bench (9)
8 O. Kiomourtzoglou
21 T. Sibbick
17 A. Forrest
16 A. Halliday
7 J. Grant
2 M. Smith
45 M. Tait
61 G. Kuol
13 R. Stewart

Coach: S. Naismith

Hibernian

4-1-4-1
1 D. Marshall G
2 L. Miller D
25 W. Fish D
4 P. Hanlon D
16 L. Stevenson D
14 J. Jeggo M
12 C. Cadden M
8 J. Doyle-Hayes M
11 J. Newell M
23 É. Youan M
15 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
18 E. Henderson
22 H. McKirdy
32 J. Campbell
3 M. Čabraja
36 A. Delferrière
17 M. Devlin
13 M. Hoppe
33 R. Bushiri
31 M. Johnson

Coach: L. Johnson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,10
U ✓
3,56
B
3,32
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,70
U2,5 ✓
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.