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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Dundee

T T U T S

2–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 16%

21%

11%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

47%

58%

Both score Ø 48%

42%

53%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

26 Shots 8

6 Shots on target 4

9 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dundee 10. · Kilmarnock 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	19	12	5	2	+21	+7.4	41
2	Celtic	18	12	2	4	+17	+8.4	38
3	Rangers	18	8	8	2	+10	+3.5	32
4	Motherwell	19	7	9	3	+10	+5.6	30
5	Hibernian	19	7	7	5	+9	-0.1	28
6	Aberdeen	18	7	4	7	-1	-4.8	25
7	Falkirk	19	6	6	7	-7	-1.1	24
8	Dundee United	19	4	10	5	-3	-4.3	22
9	St Mirren	17	4	6	7	-7	+3.6	18
10	Dundee	19	4	4	11	-16	-8.1	16
11	Kilmarnock	19	2	7	10	-16	-6.4	13
12	Livingston	18	1	6	11	-17	-3.7	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celtic	9	7	1	1	+15	+7.0	22
2	Hearts	9	6	3	0	+13	+3.1	21
3	Motherwell	9	5	3	1	+9	+7.0	18
4	Rangers	9	4	4	1	+3	+5.6	16
5	Hibernian	9	4	3	2	+8	+2.7	15
6	Aberdeen	10	3	4	3	+2	-3.4	13
7	Dundee United	10	3	4	3	-1	-1.7	13
8	St Mirren	10	3	4	3	-1	+4.8	13
9	Dundee	9	4	1	4	-2	-2.4	13
10	Falkirk	9	2	5	2	+0	+1.1	11
11	Kilmarnock	10	1	3	6	-9	-1.1	6
12	Livingston	8	1	2	5	-4	+0.2	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.3	20
2	Rangers	9	4	4	1	+7	-2.2	16
3	Celtic	9	5	1	3	+2	+1.3	16
4	Hibernian	10	3	4	3	+1	-2.8	13
5	Falkirk	10	4	1	5	-7	-2.2	13
6	Motherwell	10	2	6	2	+1	-1.4	12
7	Aberdeen	8	4	0	4	-3	-1.4	12
8	Dundee United	9	1	6	2	-2	-2.6	9
9	Kilmarnock	9	1	4	4	-7	-5.3	7
10	St Mirren	7	1	2	4	-6	-1.2	5
11	Livingston	10	0	4	6	-13	-3.8	4
12	Dundee	10	0	3	7	-14	-5.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.