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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
Kilmarnock
T S T S S
3–2
Full-time
Dundee
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 30%
31%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
43%
71%
Both score Ø 58%
46%
69%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

42% Possession 58%
16 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
14 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 9. · Dundee 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 35 27 4 4 +80 85
2 Rangers 35 20 8 7 +33 68
3 Hibernian 35 15 11 9 +14 56
4 Aberdeen 35 15 8 12 -4 53
5 Dundee United 35 14 8 13 -6 50
6 St Mirren 35 13 6 16 -8 45
7 Motherwell 35 13 6 16 -17 45
8 Hearts 35 12 7 16 +0 43
9 Kilmarnock 35 11 8 16 -16 41
10 Dundee 35 10 7 18 -21 37
11 Ross County 36 9 8 19 -28 35
12 ST Johnstone 36 9 5 22 -27 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

30. Nov -24 Kilmarnock – Dundee 1–1 3. Nov -24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 3–2 5. Oct -24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–3 18. May -24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 1–1 2. Mar -24 Dundee – Kilmarnock 2–2

Match report

Kilmarnock Dundee
30′
🟨 Sebastian Palmer-Houlden
1–0 D. Armstrong ⚽
31′
Half-time 1–0
Liam Donnelly 🟨
47′
56′
🟨 Ziyad Larkeche
57′
🔁 O. Adewumi
↦ S. Tiffoney
K. Vassell 🔁
↦ B. Wales
65′
67′
ℹ️ Simon Murray
VAR: Penalty cancelled
74′
🔁 F. Robertson
↦ S. Palmer-Houlden
76′
⚽ L. Cameron 1–1
O. Adewumi
2–1 B. Anderson ⚽
L. Donnelly
77′
R. McKenzie 🔁
↦ L. Donnelly
81′
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ D. Watson
86′
M. Watkins 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
86′
3–1 R. Deas ⚽
D. Armstrong
91′
95′
⚽ L. Cameron 3–2
R. Astley
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

4-4-2
1 K. O'Hara G
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
17 S. Findlay D
3 C. Ndaba D
11 D. Armstrong M
12 D. Watson M
22 L. Donnelly M
15 F. Murray M
24 B. Wales F
19 B. Anderson F
Bench (9)
9 K. Vassell
7 R. McKenzie
31 L. Polworth
23 M. Watkins
14 G. Mackay-Steven
10 M. Kennedy
21 C. Ramsay
20 R. McCrorie
18 I. Cameron

Coach: D. McInnes

Dundee

4-3-3
31 T. Carson G
4 R. Astley D
5 J. Shaughnessy D
50 A. Donnelly D
21 Z. Larkeche D
8 J. Mulligan M
29 A. Portales M
10 L. Cameron M
23 S. Palmer-Houlden F
15 S. Murray F
7 S. Tiffoney F
Bench (9)
11 O. Adewumi
19 F. Robertson
28 M. Sylla
3 C. Robertson
14 C. Garza
18 C. Reilly
1 J. McCracken
12 I. Samuels
26 S. Fraser

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
🔒
U
3,62
🔒
B
4,28
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,86
🔒
U2,5
1,92
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.