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Premiership
Referee: R Hardie
Kilmarnock
T S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Dundee
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kilmarnock Dundee
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
This season — Premiership · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 27%
23%
31%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
62%
77%
Both score Ø 66%
54%
77%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kilmarnock 10. · Dundee 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 12 11 1 0 +31 34
2 Aberdeen 13 10 2 1 +13 32
3 Rangers 12 7 2 3 +8 23
4 Dundee United 13 5 5 3 +5 20
5 Motherwell 12 6 1 5 +0 19
6 St Mirren 14 5 3 6 -4 18
7 Dundee 13 4 3 6 -3 15
8 Ross County 14 3 6 5 -10 15
9 ST Johnstone 14 4 1 9 -10 13
10 Kilmarnock 13 3 3 7 -11 12
11 Hearts 14 2 3 9 -9 9
12 Hibernian 14 1 6 7 -10 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kilmarnock Dundee
9′
🟨 Jordan McGhee
38′
🟨 Billy Koumetio
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 E. Ingram
↦ M. Sylla
Fraser Murray 🟨
61′
66′
🔁 O. Adewumi
↦ J. Mulligan
71′
L. Cameron 0–1
D. Armstrong 🔁
↦ G. Mackay-Steven
75′
B. Wales 🔁
↦ F. Murray
78′
L. Polworth 🔁
↦ B. Anderson
78′
1–1 B. Wales
K. Vassell
80′
Robbie Deas 🟨
82′
I. Cameron 🔁
↦ K. Vassell
87′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kilmarnock

3-4-1-2
20 R. McCrorie G
4 J. Wright D
5 L. Mayo D
6 R. Deas D
14 G. Mackay-Steven M
8 B. Lyons M
3 C. Ndaba M
15 F. Murray M
19 B. Anderson F
23 M. Watkins F
9 K. Vassell F
Bench (9)
11 D. Armstrong
24 B. Wales
31 L. Polworth
18 I. Cameron
12 D. Watson
2 J. Burroughs
1 K. O'Hara
51 O. Bainbridge
7 R. McKenzie

Coach: D. McInnes

Dundee

3-5-2
1 J. McCracken G
4 R. Astley D
29 A. Portales D
20 B. Koumetio D
8 J. Mulligan M
6 J. McGhee M
28 M. Sylla M
10 L. Cameron M
19 F. Robertson M
23 S. Palmer-Houlden F
15 S. Murray F
Bench (7)
2 E. Ingram
11 O. Adewumi
22 S. Braybrooke
16 S. Kelly
47 J. Vetro
30 H. Sharp
7 S. Tiffoney

Coach: T. Docherty

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,07
U ✓
3,49
B
3,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,88
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Hardie · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.