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Premiership

Referee: N Walsh

Aberdeen

T T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Celtic

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Celtic

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 45%

29%

61%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

32%

64%

Both score Ø 41%

32%

50%

Average goals

2,4

2,9

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,42 xG 1,85

38% Possession 62%

8 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 10

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aberdeen 8. · Celtic 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	29	19	6	4	+28	+12.5	63
2	Rangers	29	15	12	2	+26	+11.8	57
3	Celtic	28	17	4	7	+21	+16.3	55
4	Motherwell	28	14	11	3	+29	+13.6	53
5	Hibernian	29	12	10	7	+13	+2.3	46
6	Falkirk	29	12	6	11	+0	+5.3	42
7	Dundee United	29	7	12	10	-10	-11.5	33
8	Aberdeen	28	8	5	15	-11	-14.8	29
9	Dundee	28	7	7	14	-18	-5.6	28
10	St Mirren	29	5	9	15	-22	-1.1	24
11	Kilmarnock	29	4	9	16	-28	-14.8	21
12	Livingston	29	1	11	17	-28	-14.2	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	15	11	4	0	+19	+7.5	37
2	Motherwell	15	10	4	1	+21	+12.7	34
3	Rangers	15	9	5	1	+15	+10.9	32
4	Celtic	14	10	1	3	+19	+13.0	31
5	Hibernian	14	7	5	2	+13	+5.9	26
6	Falkirk	15	6	5	4	+7	+7.0	23
7	Dundee	13	5	3	5	-2	-2.7	18
8	Dundee United	15	4	6	5	-4	-4.7	18
9	St Mirren	14	4	5	5	-7	+3.0	17
10	Aberdeen	13	4	4	5	+3	-7.3	16
11	Kilmarnock	14	3	3	8	-8	-2.3	12
12	Livingston	15	1	6	8	-9	-6.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	14	8	2	4	+9	+4.9	26
2	Rangers	14	6	7	1	+11	+0.9	25
3	Celtic	14	7	3	4	+2	+3.3	24
4	Hibernian	15	5	5	5	+0	-3.5	20
5	Motherwell	13	4	7	2	+8	+1.0	19
6	Falkirk	14	6	1	7	-7	-1.8	19
7	Dundee United	14	3	6	5	-6	-6.8	15
8	Aberdeen	15	4	1	10	-14	-7.5	13
9	Dundee	15	2	4	9	-16	-2.9	10
10	Kilmarnock	15	1	6	8	-20	-12.5	9
11	St Mirren	15	1	4	10	-15	-4.1	7
12	Livingston	14	0	5	9	-19	-7.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.