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Premiership
Referee: S McLean
Aberdeen
S U S T T
1–5
Full-time
Celtic
T S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aberdeen Celtic
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+2,2
This season — Premiership · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 60%
42%
78%
Points per game
1,5
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
58%
75%
Both score Ø 45%
53%
36%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,3
2,9
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

31% Possession 69%
12 Shots 25
4 Shots on target 14
5 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 2
4 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aberdeen 4. · Celtic 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celtic 36 28 4 4 +82 88
2 Rangers 37 22 8 7 +39 74
3 Hibernian 37 15 12 10 +12 57
4 Aberdeen 36 15 8 13 -8 53
5 Dundee United 37 14 8 15 -10 50
6 Hearts 37 14 7 16 +4 49
7 St Mirren 37 14 7 16 -6 49
8 Motherwell 37 14 6 17 -17 48
9 Kilmarnock 37 12 8 17 -18 44
10 Dundee 37 10 8 19 -22 38
11 Ross County 37 9 9 19 -28 36
12 ST Johnstone 37 9 5 23 -28 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

25. Feb -25 Celtic – Aberdeen 5–1 4. Dec -24 Aberdeen – Celtic 0–1 19. Oct -24 Celtic – Aberdeen 2–2 3. Feb -24 Aberdeen – Celtic 1–1 12. Nov -23 Celtic – Aberdeen 6–0

Match report

Aberdeen Celtic
Alfie Dorrington 🟨
2′
31′
⚽ M. Nawrocki 0–1
L. McCowan
1–1 K. Nisbet ⚽
P. Guèye
42′
Half-time 1–2
48′
⚽ L. McCowan 1–2
J. Forrest
53′
⚽ Yang Hyun-Jun 1–3
54′
⚽ J. Kenny 1–4
L. McCowan
Pape Habib Gueye 🟨
57′
J. Milne 🔁
↦ M. Knoester
57′
J. MacKenzie 🔁
↦ G. Shinnie
58′
61′
🔁 A. Johnston
↦ A. Ralston
61′
🔁 R. Hatate
↦ C. McGregor
J. McGrath 🔁
↦ S. Morris
70′
Oday Dabbagh 🔁
↦ K. Nisbet
70′
70′
🔁 A. Idah
↦ J. Kenny
71′
🔁 N. Kühn
↦ Yang Hyun-Jun
Jack Mackenzie 🟨
75′
Alfie Dorrington 🟨
78′
Alfie Dorrington 🟥
78′
N. Devlin 🔁
↦ T. Keskinen
80′
81′
🔁 S. McArdle
↦ L. McCowan
94′
⚽ A. Idah 1–5
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Aberdeen

4-2-3-1
1 D. Mitov G
28 A. Jensen D
26 A. Dorrington D
5 M. Knoester D
4 G. Shinnie D
18 A. Palaversa M
10 L. Clarkson M
20 S. Morris M
14 P. Guèye M
81 T. Keskinen M
9 K. Nisbet F
Bench (9)
22 J. Milne
3 J. MacKenzie
7 J. McGrath
11 Oday Dabbagh
2 N. Devlin
16 J. Okkels
8 D. Polvara
30 F. Boyd
31 R. Doohan

Coach: J. Thelin

Celtic

4-4-1-1
12 V. Sinisalo G
56 A. Ralston D
17 M. Nawrocki D
6 A. Trusty D
15 J. Schlupp D
49 J. Forrest M
42 C. McGregor M
28 Paulo Bernardo M
13 Yang Hyun-Jun M
14 L. McCowan F
24 J. Kenny F
Bench (9)
2 A. Johnston
41 R. Hatate
9 A. Idah
10 N. Kühn
62 S. McArdle
3 G. Taylor
5 L. Scales
27 A. Engels
1 K. Schmeichel

Coach: B. Rodgers

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,26
🔒
U
4,19
🔒
B ✓
1,57
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,59
🔒
U2,5
2,31
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S McLean · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.