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Super League

Referee: F San

Lugano

U U U S T

2–1

Full-time

Sion

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Sion

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 43%

48%

37%

Points per game

1,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

48%

41%

Both score Ø 56%

63%

48%

Average goals

2,8

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,68 xG 1,29

54% Possession 46%

7 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 3. · Sion 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	27	21	1	5	+33	+4.2	64
2	St. Gallen	27	15	5	7	+20	+9.2	50
3	Lugano	27	13	7	7	+11	-2.6	46
4	Basel	27	12	7	8	+6	+14.0	43
5	Sion	27	10	11	6	+9	+7.5	41
6	Young Boys	27	11	6	10	+3	-0.6	39
7	Luzern	27	8	9	10	+2	-1.8	33
8	Zurich	27	9	4	14	-14	-3.9	31
9	Lausanne	27	7	9	11	-4	+4.5	30
10	Servette	28	6	12	10	-7	+2.2	30
11	Grasshoppers	27	5	9	13	-12	-13.2	24
12	Winterthur	28	3	6	19	-47	-19.5	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	14	10	1	3	+16	+2.1	31
2	Lugano	13	8	3	2	+12	+0.8	27
3	Young Boys	13	8	2	3	+17	+11.1	26
4	Sion	14	7	4	3	+10	+3.9	25
5	St. Gallen	14	8	1	5	+9	+10.9	25
6	Basel	13	5	5	3	+7	+18.1	20
7	Lausanne	14	4	5	5	+2	+9.4	17
8	Zurich	13	5	1	7	-4	+2.7	16
9	Luzern	13	3	5	5	+1	+2.2	14
10	Grasshoppers	14	3	5	6	-1	-4.3	14
11	Servette	14	2	7	5	-5	-0.4	13
12	Winterthur	14	2	4	8	-14	-4.0	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Thun	13	11	0	2	+17	+2.1	33
2	St. Gallen	13	7	4	2	+11	-1.7	25
3	Basel	14	7	2	5	-1	-4.1	23
4	Luzern	14	5	4	5	+1	-4.0	19
5	Lugano	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.5	19
6	Servette	14	4	5	5	-2	+2.6	17
7	Sion	13	3	7	3	-1	+3.6	16
8	Zurich	14	4	3	7	-10	-6.5	15
9	Lausanne	13	3	4	6	-6	-4.9	13
10	Young Boys	14	3	4	7	-14	-11.6	13
11	Grasshoppers	13	2	4	7	-11	-8.8	10
12	Winterthur	14	1	2	11	-33	-15.5	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.