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Premiership

Referee: M MacDermid

Celtic

S S S S T

1–2

Full-time

Hibernian

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celtic Hibernian

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

2,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Premiership · 26/27 matches

Win Ø 53%

65%

41%

Points per game

2,1

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

62%

52%

Both score Ø 49%

46%

52%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,4

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,86 xG 0,63

61% Possession 39%

21 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

8 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

11 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celtic 3. · Hibernian 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	28	18	6	4	+27	+11.2	60
2	Rangers	27	15	10	2	+26	+9.2	55
3	Celtic	26	17	3	6	+22	+14.4	54
4	Motherwell	27	13	11	3	+27	+12.2	50
5	Hibernian	27	11	9	7	+12	+2.4	42
6	Falkirk	28	11	6	11	-4	+2.4	39
7	Dundee United	26	6	11	9	-9	-10.4	29
8	Aberdeen	26	8	4	14	-10	-13.6	28
9	Dundee	27	7	6	14	-18	-4.4	27
10	St Mirren	27	5	8	14	-21	-0.9	23
11	Kilmarnock	28	4	9	15	-24	-11.8	21
12	Livingston	27	1	9	17	-28	-10.6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	14	10	4	0	+18	+6.2	34
2	Celtic	13	10	1	2	+20	+11.8	31
3	Motherwell	14	9	4	1	+19	+11.2	31
4	Rangers	14	9	4	1	+15	+11.7	31
5	Hibernian	14	7	5	2	+13	+5.9	26
6	Falkirk	14	5	5	4	+3	+4.1	20
7	Dundee	12	5	2	5	-2	-1.5	17
8	St Mirren	14	4	5	5	-7	+3.0	17
9	Aberdeen	13	4	4	5	+3	-7.3	16
10	Dundee United	13	3	5	5	-5	-5.1	14
11	Kilmarnock	14	3	3	8	-8	-2.3	12
12	Livingston	13	1	4	8	-9	-2.9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hearts	14	8	2	4	+9	+4.9	26
2	Rangers	13	6	6	1	+11	-2.4	24
3	Celtic	13	7	2	4	+2	+2.6	23
4	Motherwell	13	4	7	2	+8	+1.0	19
5	Falkirk	14	6	1	7	-7	-1.8	19
6	Hibernian	13	4	4	5	-1	-3.5	16
7	Dundee United	13	3	6	4	-4	-5.3	15
8	Aberdeen	13	4	0	9	-13	-6.3	12
9	Dundee	15	2	4	9	-16	-2.9	10
10	Kilmarnock	14	1	6	7	-16	-9.6	9
11	St Mirren	13	1	3	9	-14	-3.8	6
12	Livingston	14	0	5	9	-19	-7.7	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.