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Super League
Referee: A Bieri
Lugano
U T S T S
1–0
Full-time
Servette
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Servette
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,8
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 30%
27%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
53%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
40%
53%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 7
6 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugano 7. · Servette 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 15 10 4 1 +17 34
2 Basel 15 9 3 3 +18 30
3 St. Gallen 15 9 2 4 +13 29
4 Zurich 16 8 3 5 -6 27
5 Servette 15 5 6 4 +5 21
6 Sion 16 6 2 8 -6 20
7 Lugano 15 4 4 7 -2 16
8 Luzern 15 4 3 8 -7 15
9 Xamax 16 2 6 8 -12 12
10 Thun 16 2 3 11 -20 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

26. Sep -19 Servette – Lugano 0–0

Match report

Lugano Servette
34′
🟨 Miroslav Stevanović
Marco Aratore 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🔁 R. Souici
↦ M. Goncalves
1–0 Carlinhos ⚽
M. Aratore
48′
60′
🔁 K. Kone
↦ G. Kyei
M. Bottani 🔁
↦ M. Aratore
61′
65′
🔁 A. Schalk
↦ V. Taşar
69′
🟨 Sebastien Wüthrich
S. Guidotti 🔁
↦ S. Lovric
69′
75′
🟨 Timothé Cognat
75′
🟨 Rayan Souici
79′
🟨 Dennis Iapichino
Carlinhos Junior 🟨
90′
Mattia Bottani 🟨
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Lugano

4-1-4-1
46 N. Baumann G
30 F. Daprelà D
16 N. Lavanchy M
4 A. Kecskés D
18 E. Yao D
21 L. Obexer D
70 M. Aratore M
6 M. Čovilo M
17 B. Vécsei M
24 S. Lovric M
11 Carlinhos F
Bench (7)
10 M. Bottani
22 S. Guidotti
1 D. da Costa
9 F. Holender
27 F. Sasere
23 N. Dalmonte
28 F. Sulmoni

Coach: M. Jacobacci

Servette

4-2-3-1
32 J. Frick G
23 V. Sasso D
21 D. Iapichino D
4 S. Rouiller D
15 M. Goncalves D
10 S. Wüthrich M
9 M. Stevanović M
29 G. Ondoua M
8 T. Cognat M
20 V. Taşar M
25 G. Kyei F
Bench (7)
28 R. Souici
18 K. Kone
11 A. Schalk
3 C. Routis
1 J. Kiassumbua
17 K. Imeri
16 Park Jung-Bin

Coach: A. Geiger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Bieri · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.