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Superligaen
Esbjerg
U U T S U
1–3
Full-time
Hobro
U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Esbjerg Hobro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Superligaen · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 15%
18%
11%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
57%
39%
Both score Ø 66%
64%
68%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Esbjerg 13. · Hobro 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Midtjylland 28 22 3 3 +30 69
2 FC Copenhagen 28 19 3 6 +20 60
3 Aarhus 28 15 6 7 +15 51
4 Nordsjaelland 29 13 6 10 +16 45
5 Brondby 28 13 5 10 +10 44
6 Randers FC 29 11 6 12 +6 39
7 Aalborg 29 11 5 13 +3 38
8 Horsens 29 10 7 12 -19 37
9 Odense 28 10 6 12 +0 36
10 Sonderjyske 29 8 9 12 -13 33
11 Lyngby 28 9 6 13 -15 33
12 Hobro 28 3 15 10 -14 24
13 Esbjerg 28 5 7 16 -20 22
14 Silkeborg 29 4 8 17 -19 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.