Super League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Team trends
Lugano
Young Boys
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Match stats
Half-time score: 1–0
The table before the match Lugano 7. · Young Boys 2. ▾
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
St. Gallen
|
21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | +21 | 44 |
| 2 |
Young Boys
|
21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | +16 | 44 |
| 3 |
Basel
|
22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +24 | 39 |
| 4 |
Servette
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +12 | 33 |
| 5 |
Zurich
|
21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 31 |
| 6 |
Luzern
|
21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | -6 | 27 |
| 7 |
Lugano
|
21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 |
Sion
|
22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | -13 | 22 |
| 9 |
Xamax
|
22 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -13 | 18 |
| 10 |
Thun
|
22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | -23 | 18 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Odds comparison
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Recent matches
Thun
Lugano
Lugano
Xamax
St. Gallen
Lugano
Lugano
Young Boys
Xamax
Lugano
Referee
S Horisberger · 84 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.