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Super League

Referee: A Dudic

Basel

S S U S T

1–1

Full-time

Xamax

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Xamax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,5

This season — Super League · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

83%

58%

Both score Ø 63%

67%

58%

Average goals

3,4

2,9

Scored

2,4

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,4

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

69% Possession 31%

18 Shots 8

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 7

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Basel 2. · Xamax 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	12	8	4	0	+18	28
2	Basel	12	8	2	2	+17	26
3	St. Gallen	13	8	2	3	+11	26
4	Zurich	13	5	3	5	-12	18
5	Sion	13	5	2	6	-4	17
6	Luzern	12	4	3	5	-2	15
7	Servette	12	2	6	4	-1	12
8	Xamax	12	2	5	5	-7	11
9	Lugano	12	2	4	6	-3	10
10	Thun	13	1	3	9	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Young Boys	7	5	2	0	+12	17
2	Basel	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	St. Gallen	7	4	1	2	+7	13
4	Zurich	6	3	1	2	-4	10
5	Luzern	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Sion	6	2	1	3	-2	7
7	Servette	6	1	3	2	-1	6
8	Xamax	6	1	2	3	-4	5
9	Lugano	6	0	3	3	-4	3
10	Thun	7	0	2	5	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gallen	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	Basel	6	3	2	1	+6	11
3	Young Boys	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Sion	7	3	1	3	-2	10
5	Zurich	7	2	2	3	-8	8
6	Lugano	6	2	1	3	+1	7
7	Luzern	7	2	1	4	-3	7
8	Servette	6	1	3	2	+0	6
9	Xamax	6	1	3	2	-3	6
10	Thun	6	1	1	4	-8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.