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Super League
Referee: T Tzilos
Zurich
S T S T U
0–4
Full-time
Basel
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Basel
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Super League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 50%
45%
55%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
65%
75%
Both score Ø 48%
40%
55%
Average goals
3,1
3,2
Scored
1,3
2,1
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

48% Possession 52%
13 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 5. · Basel 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gallen 20 13 2 5 +20 41
2 Young Boys 20 12 5 3 +15 41
3 Basel 20 11 3 6 +21 36
4 Servette 20 9 6 5 +13 33
5 Zurich 20 9 4 7 -10 31
6 Luzern 20 7 3 10 -7 24
7 Lugano 20 5 7 8 -3 22
8 Sion 20 6 4 10 -11 22
9 Xamax 20 2 9 9 -13 15
10 Thun 20 3 3 14 -25 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zurich Basel
1′
F. Frei 0–1
Arthur Cabral
Nathan 🟨
27′
M. Kryeziu 🔁
↦ M. Pedersen
31′
31′
🔁 E. Zhegrova
↦ K. Bua
Umaru Bangura 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
46′
V. Stocker 0–2
O. Bunjaku
A. Marchesano 🔁
↦ T. Domgjoni
62′
63′
🔁 L. Zuffi
↦ O. Bunjaku
B. Kololli 🔁
↦ M. Mahi
73′
Simon Sohm 🟨
76′
80′
F. Frei 0–3
Arthur Cabral
81′
🔁 R. van Wolfswinkel
↦ Arthur Cabral
82′
🟨 Valentin Stocker
Marco Schönbächler 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Edon Zhegrova
84′
F. Frei 0–4
E. Zhegrova
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Zurich

4-2-3-1
25 Y. Brecher G
17 U. Bangura D
12 M. Pedersen D
3 Nathan D
27 M. Schönbächler M
18 B. Kramer F
22 K. Rüegg D
14 T. Domgjoni M
35 S. Sohm M
23 M. Mahi M
15 A. Tosin M
Bench (7)
31 M. Kryeziu
10 A. Marchesano
70 B. Kololli
1 A. Vaņins
7 A. Winter
71 H. Kryeziu
77 W. Britto

Coach: L. Magnin

Basel

4-1-4-1
1 J. Omlin G
5 S. Widmer D
6 O. Alderete D
4 E. Cömert D
15 B. Riveros D
14 V. Stocker M
20 F. Frei M
34 T. Xhaka M
33 K. Bua M
22 O. Bunjaku M
98 Arthur Cabral F
Bench (7)
30 E. Zhegrova
7 L. Zuffi
9 R. van Wolfswinkel
13 Đ. Nikolić
36 E. Bergström
28 R. Petretta
99 K. Ademi

Coach: M. Koller

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Tzilos · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
33,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.