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Super League
Referee: A Evangelou
Panathinaikos
U U T U S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Super League · 33/30 matches
Win Ø 35%
39%
30%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
36%
60%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
0,9
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
7 Shots 4
3 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 4
3 Offside 2
23 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 4. · Aris Thessalonikis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 33 27 6 0 +56 87
2 PAOK 33 21 7 5 +30 70
3 AEK 33 17 10 6 +22 61
4 Panathinaikos 33 13 12 8 +7 51
5 Atromitos 32 11 8 13 -2 41
6 OFI Crete 33 11 6 16 -6 39
7 Aris Thessalonikis 30 9 11 10 +4 38
8 Aris 31 9 11 11 +2 38
9 Asteras Tripolis 32 9 10 13 -4 37
10 Larisa 32 9 10 13 -9 37
11 Lamia 32 6 16 10 -13 34
12 Xanthi 32 9 7 16 -14 34
13 Volos NFC 32 9 7 16 -24 34
14 Panionios 32 7 7 18 -28 28
15 Panetolikos 32 5 10 17 -21 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos Aris Thessalonikis
30′
🟨 Sasha
1–0 D. Kourmpelis
41′
D. Kourbelis 🟨
42′
Y. Ayoub 🟨
42′
42′
🟨 D. Mancini
Half-time 1–0
A. Tuhami 🔁
↦ Y. Ayoub
46′
51′
🔁 D. Diamantopoulos
↦ L. Duarte
S. Alexandropoulos 🔁
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
65′
A. Athanasakopoulos 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
76′
V. Zagaritis 🔁
↦ I. Chatzitheodoridis
82′
J. Perea 🔁
↦ A. Kampetsis
83′
2–0 D. Kolovetsios
I. Bouzoukis
88′
92′
🟨 B. Gama
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
71 N. Christogeorgos G
5 B. Schenkeveld D
4 D. Kolovetsios D
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis D
23 V. Theocharis M
21 D. Kourmpelis M
20 Y. Ayoub M
18 I. Bouzoukis M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis F
9 F. Macheda F
99 A. Kampetsis F
Bench (9)
26 A. Tuhami
55 S. Alexandropoulos
37 A. Athanasakopoulos
47 V. Zagaritis
19 J. Perea
7 D. Kolovos
54 S. Tzavidas
1 S. Dioudis
58 D. Serpezis

Coach: G. Donis

Aris Thessalonikis

4-2-3-1
1 F. Ehmann G
69 M. Korhut D
92 L. Rose D
40 P. Bagalianis D
16 Bruno Gama M
26 Matilla M
8 L. Duarte M
88 Lucas Sasha M
18 N. Martínez M
24 D. Mancini M
38 P. Bakoutsis M
Bench (3)
9 D. Diamantopoulos
23 Julián
31 P. Tsagkalidis

Coach: M. Oenning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Evangelou · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
30,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.