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Super League
Referee: S Schärer
Basel
S S T S T
3–2
Full-time
Young Boys
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Basel Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,3
2,8
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,2
This season — Super League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 56%
52%
59%
Points per game
1,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
69%
59%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,9
2,2
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
14 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 9
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 23
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Basel 3. · Young Boys 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Young Boys 29 17 7 5 +28 58
2 St. Gallen 29 18 4 7 +20 58
3 Basel 29 15 4 10 +26 49
4 Servette 29 11 11 7 +15 44
5 Zurich 29 12 6 11 -12 42
6 Luzern 29 12 5 12 -3 41
7 Lugano 29 8 10 11 -4 34
8 Sion 29 7 6 16 -18 27
9 Thun 29 7 4 18 -30 25
10 Xamax 29 4 11 14 -22 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.